Trumpwatch 2.0

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radiofann
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Re: Trumpwatch 2.0

Unread post by radiofann »

radiofann wrote: Sun Feb 02, 2025 10:26 pm The numbers are similar for trade with Mexico, another $477b of imports. 25% tariff on those would yield an additional $120B of revenue for deficit reduction or social security, Medicare, Medicaid, defense spending, aid to Ukraine, etc.


There was no blaming Biden on the $7500 EV rebate, I offered it as an example of policy tools to achieve desired economic behavior. Rebates or tariffs, equally powerful tools. The EV rebate goes back to both Obama and thru Trump years. One can argue whether it makes sense or has successfully stimulated enough EV sales to support profits and investment into the segment of the auto sector.

Similarly, Recall “cash for clunkers”, a rebate to invoke purchase of new cleaner more fuel efficient cars and trading in old ones in 2009.

Unfortunately Trudeau is a feminist blacface-wearing weak leader who failed his party and is withdrawing for good reason. He admittedly failed to manage his own immigration flow and had to apologize to his citizens, his finance minister bailed out on him and he made his own correct decision to resign.

His defense spending is anemic at 1.37% of GDP , and his 10 year budget at most increased it to 1.73%, far below the 2% or even 3% target commitment goal for NATO members.

For that reason he has drawn the annoyance of Trump, Trudeau is not carrying canadas weight in the defense of free lands.

https://www.fraserinstitute.org/comment ... cumulation


No problem with US consumer paying more taxes as long as the revenue raised is used effectively on deficit reduction, Medicare, Medicaid, ACA subsidies, aid to Ukraine, etc. deficit reduction has to start somewhere.

Canada will pay the tariff. They can then decide to raise their prices to account for the tariff, to eat the cost, take less profit, or reduce their own cost and get more efficient.

I’m trying to find the thread where you all were protesting the Biden tariffs on China, on imported solar panel components, Which subsequently caused our US solar panel manufacturers to suffer higher costs? To help the environment, Are you supportive to pay more for US solar panels due to Biden tariffs?

US solar builder brace for higher costs as Biden hikes tariffs
https://www.reuters.com/business/energy ... 024-05-23/

And , the entire US Inflation Reduction Act , with its $368B of subsidies for US products, was seen as a H*** disadvantage (a tariff, I might add) on EU suppliers, who were very upset US suppliers got protectionism for their manufacturers. EU subsequently planned protectionism with their own IRA. The EU countries said the US Inflation Reduction Act violated WTO principle of non-discrimination.


Explainer: Why the U.S. Inflation Reduction Act has rattled Europe
https://www.reuters.com/markets/why-us- ... 023-02-01/

It looks like the trade war -subsidies-favoritism started in 2022 under the previous administration.
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Turkeytop
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Re: Trumpwatch 2.0

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I'll get into the store Monday to stock up on Canadian Club whisky, before the tariffs kick in on Tuesday. About eight bottles ought to do me until I go back home.
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Honeyman
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Re: Trumpwatch 2.0

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Turkeytop wrote: Mon Feb 03, 2025 12:04 am I'll get into the store Monday to stock up on Canadian Club whisky, before the tariffs kick in on Tuesday. About eight bottles ought to do me until I go back home.
8 bottles? When are you leaving, 2027?
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MotorCityRadioFreak
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Re: Trumpwatch 2.0

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Turkeytop wrote: Mon Feb 03, 2025 12:04 am I'll get into the store Monday to stock up on Canadian Club whisky, before the tariffs kick in on Tuesday. About eight bottles ought to do me until I go back home.
I am thinking of buying some Canadian maple syrup to support our neighbors.
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radiofann
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Re: Trumpwatch 2.0

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Hockey equipment and Canadian bacon
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TC Talks
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Re: Trumpwatch 2.0

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bmw wrote: Sun Feb 02, 2025 1:30 pm
Considering the human rights issues in China along with their very low standards on the environment and pollution, isn't this a good thing? I mean, I'd rather see more production here in the US, but if tariffs at least get us to trade with countries with better human rights records and that produce less pollution per unit of production, it seems to me that the cost may be worth it. It certainly seems like a more efficient way of dealing with climate change as the left in this country was (and still is) ready and willing to spend insane amount of money on green energy policies all in the name of saving the planet, but with no intention of getting China to reduce its pollution.

Ultimately, our dependence on China I see as creating more long-term problems than any economic issues caused by a trade war.
So human rights matter TODAY? You're talking out both sides of your ass.

This remains a fantasy as it will still take the US a generation to create the production capacity that China had. Too bad we deported those workers er migrants last week. Who do you expect will be working in those factories? Magas or Proud boys?
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MegaHertz
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Re: Trumpwatch 2.0

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I had sex last night.
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Rate This
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Re: Trumpwatch 2.0

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A notice sent to employees of USAID (United States Agency for International Development) instructs them to stay out of its headquarters after Musk said Trump agreed with him to close it.

It has 10,000+ employees and a $50 Billion budget. Responsible for over half of all U.S. foreign aid.
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Rate This
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Re: Trumpwatch 2.0

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MegaHertz wrote: Mon Feb 03, 2025 8:32 am I had sex last night.
Lucky bastard.
Donald Trump… In your guts you know he’s nuts.

The Resistance begins now.

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radiofann
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Re: Trumpwatch 2.0

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Tax foundation.org has a link looking at trump tax proposals and individual impacts.


The tariff option is near the bottom of the table, yielding $3.283T in revenue over 10yrs
Impose a Universal 20% Tariff on All Imports Plus Additional 50% Tariff on Imports from China
https://taxfoundation.org/blog/trump-ta ... ciliation/


Here is another handy table from the same website with tax reform options for reducing the deficit, juicing the economy, helping the vulnerable, and simplifying the tax code.
Very handy info. Every option has an impact on revenue, jobs, and gdp growth.

https://taxfoundation.org/research/fede ... m-options/

It’s been said our high debt to gdp ratio is the most important national security concern, when our foes can weaponize our debt, and our future inability to manage it and pay for it. Reduce the debt, and you improve national security.
radiofann
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Re: Trumpwatch 2.0

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Here is a very helpful graph of past budget deficits, as a percentage of GDP.

Obama and Boehner (divided govt) in 2015 recently had a budget deficit of 2.4%, GW Bush had 1.7% in 2007.

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?id=FYFSDFYGDP
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Rate This
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Re: Trumpwatch 2.0

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radiofann wrote: Mon Feb 03, 2025 10:23 am Here is a very helpful graph of past budget deficits, as a percentage of GDP.

Obama and Boehner (divided govt) in 2015 recently had a budget deficit of 2.4%, GW Bush had 1.7% in 2007.

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?id=FYFSDFYGDP
It’s extremely helpful. It tells us that the Trump tax cuts in 2017 blew a hole in the budget and COVID accelerated that process. Later while recovering from the pandemic the deficit was reduced. Never fear Trump is here to blow another hole or six in it.
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Rate This
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Re: Trumpwatch 2.0

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The tariffs on Mexico have been paused for a month for negotiations after a conversation between Trump and the Mexican President. Mexico will be sending 10,000 of it's troops to the border.
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Matt
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Re: Trumpwatch 2.0

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Rate This wrote: Mon Feb 03, 2025 11:14 am The tariffs on Mexico have been paused for a month for negotiations after a conversation between Trump and the Mexican President. Mexico will be sending 10,000 of it's troops to the border.
I expect something similar to happen with Canada today, which would be a win. I don't know that he needed to violate the deal he made and what the repercussions will be down the road, but these actions might work in the short term.
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MegaHertz
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Re: Trumpwatch 2.0

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Rate This wrote: Mon Feb 03, 2025 9:45 am
MegaHertz wrote: Mon Feb 03, 2025 8:32 am I had sex last night.
Lucky bastard.
It was nice to get fucked a different way.
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