2024 General Election Polling Thread

[Rate This]

Kamala winning Iowa?

https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story ... 354033007/

You beat me by seconds - it looks like Iowa is in play: https://www.cnn.com/2024/11/02/politics ... index.html

Women are driving it and if it holds and a state Trump won by 10 in 2016 and 8 in 2020 goes for Harris it’s a landslide in the making. Ann Selzer is one of the best in the business.

[Matt]

Kamala winning Iowa?

https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story ... 354033007/

You beat me by seconds - it looks like Iowa is in play: https://www.cnn.com/2024/11/02/politics ... index.html

Women are driving it and if it holds and a state Trump won by 10 in 2016 and 8 in 2020 goes for Harris it’s a landslide in the making. Ann Selzer is one of the best in the business.

I'm dreaming of a 400+ Kamala electoral win...

[Rate This]

Kamala winning Iowa?

https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story ... 354033007/

You beat me by seconds - it looks like Iowa is in play: https://www.cnn.com/2024/11/02/politics ... index.html

Women are driving it and if it holds and a state Trump won by 10 in 2016 and 8 in 2020 goes for Harris it’s a landslide in the making. Ann Selzer is one of the best in the business.

I'm dreaming of a 400+ Kamala electoral win...

Ohio is within 3 (!) so I mean he’s absolutely collapsing. Beemer is of course silent on all of this mounting evidence he’s totally wrong. And that evidence includes early voting which is hard data and not predictions and expectations.

[Matt]

Kamala winning Iowa?

https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story ... 354033007/

You beat me by seconds - it looks like Iowa is in play: https://www.cnn.com/2024/11/02/politics ... index.html

Women are driving it and if it holds and a state Trump won by 10 in 2016 and 8 in 2020 goes for Harris it’s a landslide in the making. Ann Selzer is one of the best in the business.

I'm dreaming of a 400+ Kamala electoral win...

Ohio is within 3 (!) so I mean he’s absolutely collapsing. Beemer is of course silent on all of this mounting evidence he’s totally wrong. And that evidence includes early voting which is hard data and not predictions and expectations.

You need Ohio, Indiana, Florida, and perhaps Texas.

[zzand]

Interesting you mention Indiana. Harris has been on all media with nothing from Trump that is until yesterday when buys started coming in from his campaign to TV and radio.

[Matt]

FWIW, Harris leading by 6 points on predictit. Big move the past few days....

58-49 Harris currently. Comment, BMW?

[Rate This]

Kamala winning Iowa?

https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story ... 354033007/

You beat me by seconds - it looks like Iowa is in play: https://www.cnn.com/2024/11/02/politics ... index.html

Women are driving it and if it holds and a state Trump won by 10 in 2016 and 8 in 2020 goes for Harris it’s a landslide in the making. Ann Selzer is one of the best in the business.

I'm dreaming of a 400+ Kamala electoral win...

Ohio is within 3 (!) so I mean he’s absolutely collapsing. Beemer is of course silent on all of this mounting evidence he’s totally wrong. And that evidence includes early voting which is hard data and not predictions and expectations.

You need Ohio, Indiana, Florida, and perhaps Texas.

So let’s say we get that… 400+ Electoral Votes. Does that make them not try to take it anyways… or does it make them go absolutely attack level nuts? Because I fear there are true believers who will do some crazy things in the name of Trump and his fraud claims should she win big.

[zzand]

I think there will be an effort to keep the House from certifying the election if he loses. Also an effort like has been proposed that the vote should be ignored and he gets the electors anyhow. I am afraid there will also be violence if he loses. I do think the current administration will quash it quickly but the damage will have been done.

[MotorCityRadioFreak]

There’s no way that Kamala will get Iowa, but I think we can look at the outside possibility of Texas or Florida going blue.

[MotorCityRadioFreak]

I think there will be an effort to keep the House from certifying the election if he loses. Also an effort like has been proposed that the vote should be ignored and he gets the electors anyhow. I am afraid there will also be violence if he loses. I do think the current administration will quash it quickly but the damage will have been done.

That reminds me, I need to fuel up.

[bmw]

FWIW, Harris leading by 6 points on predictit. Big move the past few days....

58-49 Harris currently. Comment, BMW?

Look at the volume. 130k shares traded in 2 hours. Looks like manipulation. Either that or an extreme reaction to the Iowa poll. Which, I will eat my socks if Kamala wins Iowa.

[Rate This]

FWIW, Harris leading by 6 points on predictit. Big move the past few days....

58-49 Harris currently. Comment, BMW?

Look at the volume. 130k shares traded in 2 hours. Looks like manipulation. Either that or an extreme reaction to the Iowa poll. Which, I will eat my socks if Kamala wins Iowa.

Hope you like cottonmouth. I don’t think it’s manipulation. It’s some of the people who had Trump on the brain realizing he’s collapsing. Women powered this poll result. They are outvoting men by double digits and Harris is being UNDERCOUNTED in polling by not having enough women, young voters and minorities in the sample because it’s based on 2020 and Biden didn’t pull those groups nearly as well as she is. Democrats are outpacing Republicans by 10 in enthusiasm which is higher than it was for Obama ‘08. By overturning Roe the GOP will have fucked around and found out. Trump is in serious trouble here… wake up man.

[bmw]

The gender gap in early voting was slightly larger in 2020 than it is this year.

[Rate This]

The gender gap in early voting was slightly larger in 2020 than it is this year.

And more Republicans are voting early. And even then she’s up double digits even where Republicans hold a slight lead in who has voted registration wise. The writing is on the wall here. The gender gap overall will be far larger than 2020 when it was 11. You’re looking at somewhere in the 30’s this time. This is probably the biggest deal in the election.

P.S… You gonna take a swing at the handjob/blowjob miming by your “it’ll be a landslide” candidate? I mean come on man.

[Mega Hertz]

If Harris wins Iowa, I will eat bmw's socks. Even the crusty one under the bed