Acceptable registrations in the queue through June 3 at 5:00p ET have now been activated. Enjoy! -M.W.
Terms of Use have been amended effective October 6, 2019. Make sure you are aware of the new rules! Please visit this thread for details: https://www.mibuzzboard.com/phpBB3/view ... 16&t=48619
Terms of Use have been amended effective October 6, 2019. Make sure you are aware of the new rules! Please visit this thread for details: https://www.mibuzzboard.com/phpBB3/view ... 16&t=48619
2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread
Re: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread
In defense of beemer, all he did was contribute poll information to the poll information thread. A thread that has been on this board since November of 2022 and is at 37 pages. Now, I was the first one with a smart ass remark, so it's not like I'm innocent here.....but that's my m.o. But I expect better of everybody else.
Last edited by Honeyman on Mon Feb 26, 2024 7:25 pm, edited 1 time in total.
The censorship king from out of state.
Re: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread
In 2016 they didn’t pick up the October surprise from James Comey about reopening the Hillary email investigation. That was with a week to go and when that happened a large shift to Trump occurred and they simply couldn’t catch up fast enough. The 2020 polls weren’t all that far off however. They were good in 2018 and 2022… there is something about Trump on the ballot that is unique.MotorCityRadioFreak wrote: ↑Mon Feb 26, 2024 7:08 pmDoes anyone remember how accurate the polls were in 2016 and 2020? ROFL. I don't trust shit. The electorate is more fickle than we think besides.
Re: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread
February 24
HarrisX
GOP Nomination:
Trump 76
Haley 13
Democratic Nomination:
Biden 72
Phillips 7
General Election:
Trump 52
Biden 48
Trump 42
Biden 40
Kennedy 14
West 3
Stein 2
February 26
The Hill / Emerson
Michigan GOP Primary:
Trump 76
Haley 24
Michigan Democratic Primary:
Biden 77
Phillips 7
Michigan General Election:
Trump 46
Biden 44
Trump 42
Biden 39
Kennedy 6
Stein 1
West 1
Harvard-Harris
GOP Nomination:
Trump 78
Haley 14
General Election:
Trump 53
Biden 47
Trump 44
Biden 37
Kennedy 18
Trump 44
Biden 36
Kennedy 17
West 3
Stein 1
Pan-Atlantic
Maine GOP Primary:
Trump 66
Haley 24
Maine General Election:
Trump 38
Biden 32
Maine CD-1 General Election:
Biden 39
Trump 31
Maine CD-2 General Election:
Trump 45
Biden 25
HarrisX
GOP Nomination:
Trump 76
Haley 13
Democratic Nomination:
Biden 72
Phillips 7
General Election:
Trump 52
Biden 48
Trump 42
Biden 40
Kennedy 14
West 3
Stein 2
February 26
The Hill / Emerson
Michigan GOP Primary:
Trump 76
Haley 24
Michigan Democratic Primary:
Biden 77
Phillips 7
Michigan General Election:
Trump 46
Biden 44
Trump 42
Biden 39
Kennedy 6
Stein 1
West 1
Harvard-Harris
GOP Nomination:
Trump 78
Haley 14
General Election:
Trump 53
Biden 47
Trump 44
Biden 37
Kennedy 18
Trump 44
Biden 36
Kennedy 17
West 3
Stein 1
Pan-Atlantic
Maine GOP Primary:
Trump 66
Haley 24
Maine General Election:
Trump 38
Biden 32
Maine CD-1 General Election:
Biden 39
Trump 31
Maine CD-2 General Election:
Trump 45
Biden 25
Re: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread
February 27
The Hill / Emerson
Wisconsin General Election:
Trump 45
Biden 42
Trump 41
Biden 37
Kennedy 7
Stein 1
West 1
Morning Consult
GOP Nomination:
Trump 81
Haley 18
General Election:
Trump 44
Biden 43
The Hill / Emerson
Wisconsin General Election:
Trump 45
Biden 42
Trump 41
Biden 37
Kennedy 7
Stein 1
West 1
Morning Consult
GOP Nomination:
Trump 81
Haley 18
General Election:
Trump 44
Biden 43
Re: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread
February 28
Economist / YouGov
GOP Nomination:
Trump 80
Haley 12
General Election:
Trump 44
Biden 44
Generic Congressional Ballot:
Democrats 44
Republicans 43
Economist / YouGov
GOP Nomination:
Trump 80
Haley 12
General Election:
Trump 44
Biden 44
Generic Congressional Ballot:
Democrats 44
Republicans 43
Re: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread
February 29
Bloomberg / Morning Consult
Michigan General Election:
Trump 46
Biden 44
Trump 41
Biden 40
Kennedy 9
Stein 1
West 1
Arizona General Election:
Trump 49
Biden 43
Trump 45
Biden 36
Kennedy 9
Stein 1
West 1
Georgia General Election:
Trump 49
Biden 43
Trump 45
BIden 38
Kennedy 6
West 1
Stein 1
Nevada General Election:
Trump 48
Biden 42
Trump 44
Biden 37
Kennedy 9
Stein 1
West 0
North Carolina General Election:
Trump 50
Biden 41
Trump 45
Biden 35
Kennedy 9
West 1
Stein 1
Pennsylvania General Election:
Trump 49
Biden 43
Trump 45
Biden 36
Kennedy 8
Stein 1
West 1
Wisconsin General Election:
Trump 46
Biden 42
Trump 41
Biden 35
Kennedy 10
Stein 1
West 1
The Hill / Emerson
California GOP Primary:
Trump 75
Haley 17
California Democratic Primary:
Biden 80
Phillips 6
California General Election:
Biden 57
Trump 35
Biden 51
Trump 31
Kennedy 7
West 2
Stein 1
Bloomberg / Morning Consult
Michigan General Election:
Trump 46
Biden 44
Trump 41
Biden 40
Kennedy 9
Stein 1
West 1
Arizona General Election:
Trump 49
Biden 43
Trump 45
Biden 36
Kennedy 9
Stein 1
West 1
Georgia General Election:
Trump 49
Biden 43
Trump 45
BIden 38
Kennedy 6
West 1
Stein 1
Nevada General Election:
Trump 48
Biden 42
Trump 44
Biden 37
Kennedy 9
Stein 1
West 0
North Carolina General Election:
Trump 50
Biden 41
Trump 45
Biden 35
Kennedy 9
West 1
Stein 1
Pennsylvania General Election:
Trump 49
Biden 43
Trump 45
Biden 36
Kennedy 8
Stein 1
West 1
Wisconsin General Election:
Trump 46
Biden 42
Trump 41
Biden 35
Kennedy 10
Stein 1
West 1
The Hill / Emerson
California GOP Primary:
Trump 75
Haley 17
California Democratic Primary:
Biden 80
Phillips 6
California General Election:
Biden 57
Trump 35
Biden 51
Trump 31
Kennedy 7
West 2
Stein 1
Re: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread
Looks like Joe is toast. Anyone interested in buying a nice double-wide mobile home on Florida's gulf coast, there may be one coming available later this year.
I don't mean to brag, but I just put a puzzle together in 1 day and the box said 2-4 years.
Re: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread
March 1
Roanoke College
Virginia GOP Primary:
Trump 51
Haley 43
Virginia General Election:
Biden 47
Trump 43
Haley 49
Biden 40
Forbes / HarrisX
GOP Nomination:
Trump 79
Haley 12
Democratic Nomination:
Biden 74
Phillips 7
General Election:
Trump 52
Biden 48
Trump 43
Biden 38
Kennedy 14
West 3
Stein 2
Roanoke College
Virginia GOP Primary:
Trump 51
Haley 43
Virginia General Election:
Biden 47
Trump 43
Haley 49
Biden 40
Forbes / HarrisX
GOP Nomination:
Trump 79
Haley 12
Democratic Nomination:
Biden 74
Phillips 7
General Election:
Trump 52
Biden 48
Trump 43
Biden 38
Kennedy 14
West 3
Stein 2
Re: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread
Virginia in play with Haley...Rate This wrote: ↑Fri Mar 01, 2024 11:29 pmMarch 1
Roanoke College
Virginia GOP Primary:
Trump 51
Haley 43
Virginia General Election:
Biden 47
Trump 43
Haley 49
Biden 40
Forbes / HarrisX
GOP Nomination:
Trump 79
Haley 12
Democratic Nomination:
Biden 74
Phillips 7
General Election:
Trump 52
Biden 48
Trump 43
Biden 38
Kennedy 14
West 3
Stein 2
Voting for Trump is dumber than playing Russian Roulette with fully loaded chambers.
Re: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread
And even if she loses that is a terrible number for Trump.Matt wrote: ↑Sat Mar 02, 2024 7:02 amVirginia in play with Haley...Rate This wrote: ↑Fri Mar 01, 2024 11:29 pmMarch 1
Roanoke College
Virginia GOP Primary:
Trump 51
Haley 43
Virginia General Election:
Biden 47
Trump 43
Haley 49
Biden 40
Forbes / HarrisX
GOP Nomination:
Trump 79
Haley 12
Democratic Nomination:
Biden 74
Phillips 7
General Election:
Trump 52
Biden 48
Trump 43
Biden 38
Kennedy 14
West 3
Stein 2
Re: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread
If that's a terrible number for Trump, how about for Biden?
Virginia election results:
2016 - Hillary 50, Trump 44 (Hillary +6)
2020 - Biden 54, Trump 44 (Biden +10)
Current RCP average:
2024 - Biden 46, Trump 42 (Biden +4)
So Biden has lost 8 points, Trump down 2, and Trump is the one who has a terrible number there?
Virginia probably stays blue, but it won't be the 10-point blowout it was in 2020.
And Matt - you keep ignoring how unpopular Haley is in Texas. Most recent poll done there has Biden +9 over Haley. If Texas went blue, that would be it, no matter how well everything else went. Michigan, Wisconsin, and Virginia combined wouldn't even be enough to cancel that one out.
Virginia election results:
2016 - Hillary 50, Trump 44 (Hillary +6)
2020 - Biden 54, Trump 44 (Biden +10)
Current RCP average:
2024 - Biden 46, Trump 42 (Biden +4)
So Biden has lost 8 points, Trump down 2, and Trump is the one who has a terrible number there?
Virginia probably stays blue, but it won't be the 10-point blowout it was in 2020.
And Matt - you keep ignoring how unpopular Haley is in Texas. Most recent poll done there has Biden +9 over Haley. If Texas went blue, that would be it, no matter how well everything else went. Michigan, Wisconsin, and Virginia combined wouldn't even be enough to cancel that one out.
Re: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread
https://www.270towin.com/bmw wrote: ↑Sat Mar 02, 2024 8:50 amIf that's a terrible number for Trump, how about for Biden?
Virginia election results:
2016 - Hillary 50, Trump 44 (Hillary +6)
2020 - Biden 54, Trump 44 (Biden +10)
Current RCP average:
2024 - Biden 46, Trump 42 (Biden +4)
So Biden has lost 8 points, Trump down 2, and Trump is the one who has a terrible number there?
Virginia probably stays blue, but it won't be the 10-point blowout it was in 2020.
And Matt - you keep ignoring how unpopular Haley is in Texas. Most recent poll done there has Biden +9 over Haley. If Texas went blue, that would be it, no matter how well everything else went. Michigan, Wisconsin, and Virginia combined wouldn't even be enough to cancel that one out.
Voting for Trump is dumber than playing Russian Roulette with fully loaded chambers.
Re: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread
I was referring to Trumps 8 point lead over Haley there. If he’s such a shoo in for everything that number should be nowhere near 51-43.bmw wrote: ↑Sat Mar 02, 2024 8:50 amIf that's a terrible number for Trump, how about for Biden?
Virginia election results:
2016 - Hillary 50, Trump 44 (Hillary +6)
2020 - Biden 54, Trump 44 (Biden +10)
Current RCP average:
2024 - Biden 46, Trump 42 (Biden +4)
So Biden has lost 8 points, Trump down 2, and Trump is the one who has a terrible number there?
Virginia probably stays blue, but it won't be the 10-point blowout it was in 2020.
And Matt - you keep ignoring how unpopular Haley is in Texas. Most recent poll done there has Biden +9 over Haley. If Texas went blue, that would be it, no matter how well everything else went. Michigan, Wisconsin, and Virginia combined wouldn't even be enough to cancel that one out.
Re: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread
That's because it isn't. That is a typo on the RCP page. Actual number is Trump 75, Haley 15.
https://www.roanoke.edu/documents/rcpol ... eb2024.pdf