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2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread

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MotorCityRadioFreak
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Re: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread

Post by MotorCityRadioFreak » Thu Feb 22, 2024 1:06 am

Matt wrote:
Sat Feb 17, 2024 8:11 pm
Hilarious that Whitmer is 10 points WORSE than Harris.
Where did RT post anything about a Whitmer poll?


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Re: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread

Post by Round Six » Thu Feb 22, 2024 1:49 am

MotorCityRadioFreak wrote:
Thu Feb 22, 2024 1:06 am
Matt wrote:
Sat Feb 17, 2024 8:11 pm
Hilarious that Whitmer is 10 points WORSE than Harris.
Where did RT post anything about a Whitmer poll?
Scroll back to 2/17.
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Re: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread

Post by Rate This » Thu Feb 22, 2024 11:09 pm

February 22

Marquette
GOP Nomination:
Trump 73
Haley 15

Democratic Nomination:
Biden 66
Williamson 6

General Election:
Trump 51
Biden 49

Trump 42
Biden 39
Kennedy 15
West 3
Stein 2

Haley 58
Biden 42

UNH
Vermont GOP Primary:
Trump 61
Haley 31

Vermont Democratic Primary:
Biden 81
Phillips 5

The Hill / Emerson
Arizona General Election:
Trump 46
Biden 43

Trump 43
Biden 37
Kennedy 8
West 1
Stein 1

Trump 47
Newsom 34

Trump 48
Harris 40

Nevada General Election:
Trump 46
Biden 40

Trump 44
Biden 34
Kennedy 6
Stein 1
West 1

Trump 49
Newsom 32

Trump 48
Harris 39

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Re: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread

Post by MotorCityRadioFreak » Thu Feb 22, 2024 11:32 pm

Round Six wrote:
Thu Feb 22, 2024 1:49 am
MotorCityRadioFreak wrote:
Thu Feb 22, 2024 1:06 am
Matt wrote:
Sat Feb 17, 2024 8:11 pm
Hilarious that Whitmer is 10 points WORSE than Harris.
Where did RT post anything about a Whitmer poll?
Scroll back to 2/17.
I see the discussion about the deficit but see no poll directly referencing Whitmer.
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Remember that “2000 Mules” was concocted by a circus of elephants.
The right needs to stop worry about what’s between people’s legs. Instead, they should focus on what’s between their ears.
Audacity sucks.

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Re: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread

Post by Rate This » Fri Feb 23, 2024 12:55 am

MotorCityRadioFreak wrote:
Thu Feb 22, 2024 11:32 pm
Round Six wrote:
Thu Feb 22, 2024 1:49 am
MotorCityRadioFreak wrote:
Thu Feb 22, 2024 1:06 am
Matt wrote:
Sat Feb 17, 2024 8:11 pm
Hilarious that Whitmer is 10 points WORSE than Harris.
Where did RT post anything about a Whitmer poll?
Scroll back to 2/17.
I see the discussion about the deficit but see no poll directly referencing Whitmer.
Emerson February 16th.

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Re: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread

Post by Rate This » Fri Feb 23, 2024 10:57 pm

February 23

PPIC
California GOP Primary:
Trump 64
Haley 17

California General Election:
Biden 55
Trump 32

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Re: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread

Post by radiofann » Fri Feb 23, 2024 11:31 pm

I’d say it boils down to the results of swing states of Nevada, Arizona, Ohio, pennsylvania, michigan. Georgia and Wisconsin also.

All of the national polls are irrelevant. We know the red states, and we know the blue states.

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Re: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread

Post by Rate This » Sat Feb 24, 2024 6:37 pm

February 24

Trafalgar Group
South Carolina GOP Primary:
Trump 59
Haley 38

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Re: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread

Post by MotorCityRadioFreak » Sat Feb 24, 2024 9:22 pm

radiofann wrote:
Fri Feb 23, 2024 11:31 pm
I’d say it boils down to the results of swing states of Nevada, Arizona, Ohio, pennsylvania, michigan. Georgia and Wisconsin also.

All of the national polls are irrelevant. We know the red states, and we know the blue states.
I don’t know where it leaves the electoral count, but I see Georgia, Arizona, Nevada, and Ohio as red.
I see Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan blue.
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Remember that “2000 Mules” was concocted by a circus of elephants.
The right needs to stop worry about what’s between people’s legs. Instead, they should focus on what’s between their ears.
Audacity sucks.

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Re: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread

Post by Rate This » Sat Feb 24, 2024 9:37 pm

MotorCityRadioFreak wrote:
Sat Feb 24, 2024 9:22 pm
radiofann wrote:
Fri Feb 23, 2024 11:31 pm
I’d say it boils down to the results of swing states of Nevada, Arizona, Ohio, pennsylvania, michigan. Georgia and Wisconsin also.

All of the national polls are irrelevant. We know the red states, and we know the blue states.
I don’t know where it leaves the electoral count, but I see Georgia, Arizona, Nevada, and Ohio as red.
I see Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan blue.
That should be enough for a narrow Biden win.

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Re: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread

Post by bmw » Mon Feb 26, 2024 5:36 pm

Uh oh. Trump +6 in Maine. First time he's ever led in a statewide poll, including never once leading in 2016 or 2020.

That would kill that "narrow path" as Trump could lose MI, WI, and PA but would narrowly win if he took GA, AZ, NV, OH, and Maine.

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Re: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread

Post by Honeyman » Mon Feb 26, 2024 5:52 pm

bmw wrote:
Mon Feb 26, 2024 5:36 pm
Uh oh. Trump +6 in Maine. First time he's ever led in a statewide poll, including never once leading in 2016 or 2020.

That would kill that "narrow path" as Trump could lose MI, WI, and PA but would narrowly win if he took GA, AZ, NV, OH, and Maine.
You're 100 right. Biden should concede.
The censorship king from out of state.

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Re: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread

Post by MotorCityRadioFreak » Mon Feb 26, 2024 6:00 pm

bmw wrote:
Mon Feb 26, 2024 5:36 pm
Uh oh. Trump +6 in Maine. First time he's ever led in a statewide poll, including never once leading in 2016 or 2020.

That would kill that "narrow path" as Trump could lose MI, WI, and PA but would narrowly win if he took GA, AZ, NV, OH, and Maine.
Fake polls, phony polls...
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Remember that “2000 Mules” was concocted by a circus of elephants.
The right needs to stop worry about what’s between people’s legs. Instead, they should focus on what’s between their ears.
Audacity sucks.

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Re: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread

Post by Rate This » Mon Feb 26, 2024 6:08 pm

bmw wrote:
Mon Feb 26, 2024 5:36 pm
Uh oh. Trump +6 in Maine. First time he's ever led in a statewide poll, including never once leading in 2016 or 2020.

That would kill that "narrow path" as Trump could lose MI, WI, and PA but would narrowly win if he took GA, AZ, NV, OH, and Maine.
Maine distributed proportional by congressional district. This is the exact same result as 16 and 20… he wins one and loses the other. The GOP district is very rural and the other is where most people in Maine are. So no it wouldn’t kill anything.

The exit polls and results so far are not indicating as much enthusiasm for Trump as the polls are… I suspect a lot of pollsters have some sort of bad methodology at work. There is also a lot of ticket splitting in the polling which is something that doesn’t happen much anymore. Somethings really screwy here. But really this is still the entertainment phase of the polling cycle… the rubber meets the road after the conventions nominate both men.

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Re: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread

Post by MotorCityRadioFreak » Mon Feb 26, 2024 7:08 pm

Does anyone remember how accurate the polls were in 2016 and 2020? ROFL. I don't trust shit. The electorate is more fickle than we think besides.
They/them, non-binary and proud.

Remember that “2000 Mules” was concocted by a circus of elephants.
The right needs to stop worry about what’s between people’s legs. Instead, they should focus on what’s between their ears.
Audacity sucks.

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