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2024 General Election Polling Thread

Debate and discussion of current events and political issues across the U.S. and throughout the World. Be forewarned -- this forum is NOT for the intellectually weak or those of you with thin skins. Don't come crying to me if you become the subject of ridicule. **Board Administrator reserves the right to revoke posting privileges based on my sole discretion**
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bmw
Posts: 8065
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Re: 2024 General Election Polling Thread

Unread post by bmw »

Matt wrote: Fri Oct 11, 2024 9:57 am Did you forget that Donald Trump is a felon and a traitor that appears to have dementia.
You must have missed my answer to all of your past and future questions.
bmw wrote: Fri Oct 11, 2024 9:07 am I think someone pisses in Matt's Cheerios every morning before he wakes up.
Matt
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Re: 2024 General Election Polling Thread

Unread post by Matt »

bmw wrote: Fri Oct 11, 2024 10:33 am
Matt wrote: Fri Oct 11, 2024 9:57 am Did you forget that Donald Trump is a felon and a traitor that appears to have dementia.
You must have missed my answer to all of your past and future questions.
bmw wrote: Fri Oct 11, 2024 9:07 am I think someone pisses in Matt's Cheerios every morning before he wakes up.
Partisan hack.
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TC Talks
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Re: 2024 General Election Polling Thread

Unread post by TC Talks »

Here is the NY Times exhaustive analysis. Any way you slice it, they are within a margin of error...

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/202 ... =url-share

Unlocked as my gift to you...
Last edited by TC Talks on Fri Oct 11, 2024 10:36 am, edited 1 time in total.
283,000,000 Americans didn't vote for Trump.

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Rate This
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Re: 2024 General Election Polling Thread

Unread post by Rate This »

Matt wrote: Fri Oct 11, 2024 10:35 am
bmw wrote: Fri Oct 11, 2024 10:33 am
Matt wrote: Fri Oct 11, 2024 9:57 am Did you forget that Donald Trump is a felon and a traitor that appears to have dementia.
You must have missed my answer to all of your past and future questions.
bmw wrote: Fri Oct 11, 2024 9:07 am I think someone pisses in Matt's Cheerios every morning before he wakes up.
Partisan hack.
That much is certain.
Donald Trump… In your guts you know he’s nuts.

The Resistance begins now.

This is a pro-Democracy account.

Dear America… you were warned.
Matt
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Re: 2024 General Election Polling Thread

Unread post by Matt »

TC Talks wrote: Fri Oct 11, 2024 10:36 am Here is the NY Times exhaustive analysis. Any way you slice it, they are within a margin of error...

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/202 ... =url-share

Unlocked as my gift to you...
WSJ has Harris winning AZ, MI, WI, and GA.
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Re: 2024 General Election Polling Thread

Unread post by Rate This »

Odds and EV Predictions…

538:
Harris 53% Chance
Trump 46% Chance

PredictIt:
Trump 54
Harris 50

Virtual Tout:
Trump 304 EV’s
Harris 234 EV’s

Electoral-vote.com:
Harris 247 EV’s
Trump 246 EV’s
45 EV’s Tied (Georgia, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin)
Donald Trump… In your guts you know he’s nuts.

The Resistance begins now.

This is a pro-Democracy account.

Dear America… you were warned.
bmw
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Re: 2024 General Election Polling Thread

Unread post by bmw »

Matt wrote: Fri Oct 11, 2024 11:02 am WSJ has Harris winning AZ, MI, WI, and GA.
Image
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Re: 2024 General Election Polling Thread

Unread post by Rate This »

bmw wrote: Fri Oct 11, 2024 8:45 pm
Matt wrote: Fri Oct 11, 2024 11:02 am WSJ has Harris winning AZ, MI, WI, and GA.
Image
Can’t see anything.
Donald Trump… In your guts you know he’s nuts.

The Resistance begins now.

This is a pro-Democracy account.

Dear America… you were warned.
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MotorCityRadioFreak
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Re: 2024 General Election Polling Thread

Unread post by MotorCityRadioFreak »

I did another drive around the area yesterday on my way to and from a few garage sales in northeast Warren. I live next to the most purple swing precincts one mile N.E. of me. These are precincts that voted for Trump in 2016 and Biden in 2020. In 2020, I saw 2 lone Biden/Harris signs then “in the wild” and at least 12 Trump signs. This year, it has been 8 Trump signs to 5 for Kamala. I know that signs don’t vote and demographics shift, but it is not discouraging.
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Re: 2024 General Election Polling Thread

Unread post by Rate This »

MotorCityRadioFreak wrote: Sat Oct 12, 2024 5:23 am I did another drive around the area yesterday on my way to and from a few garage sales in northeast Warren. I live next to the most purple swing precincts one mile N.E. of me. These are precincts that voted for Trump in 2016 and Biden in 2020. In 2020, I saw 2 lone Biden/Harris signs then “in the wild” and at least 12 Trump signs. This year, it has been 8 Trump signs to 5 for Kamala. I know that signs don’t vote and demographics shift, but it is not discouraging.
On that note I see way fewer Trump signs in general than I recall before. I’ll be doing my own survey today.
Donald Trump… In your guts you know he’s nuts.

The Resistance begins now.

This is a pro-Democracy account.

Dear America… you were warned.
zzand
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Location: right here

Re: 2024 General Election Polling Thread

Unread post by zzand »

Where I live it is Trump country and all you see are his signs, banners and flags. This year ,for the first time since the Obama era, I have seen just as many Harris signs as Trump stuff. Her campaign is door knocking, making media buys and doing their job. From the looks of it their work is paying off. Our early voting has set daily records as well.
Matt
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Re: 2024 General Election Polling Thread

Unread post by Matt »

zzand wrote: Sat Oct 12, 2024 8:32 am Where I live it is Trump country and all you see are his signs, banners and flags. This year ,for the first time since the Obama era, I have seen just as many Harris signs as Trump stuff. Her campaign is door knocking, making media buys and doing their job. From the looks of it their work is paying off. Our early voting has set daily records as well.
Imagine if Harris wins Indiana. Cult member BMW's taunting is going to look even more silly.
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Matt
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Re: 2024 General Election Polling Thread

Unread post by Matt »

Rate This wrote: Sat Oct 12, 2024 8:28 am
MotorCityRadioFreak wrote: Sat Oct 12, 2024 5:23 am I did another drive around the area yesterday on my way to and from a few garage sales in northeast Warren. I live next to the most purple swing precincts one mile N.E. of me. These are precincts that voted for Trump in 2016 and Biden in 2020. In 2020, I saw 2 lone Biden/Harris signs then “in the wild” and at least 12 Trump signs. This year, it has been 8 Trump signs to 5 for Kamala. I know that signs don’t vote and demographics shift, but it is not discouraging.
On that note I see way fewer Trump signs in general than I recall before. I’ll be doing my own survey today.
The one house in my neighborhood that has always put out Trump signs finally did recently. I've been keeping my eye open and was surprised it took as long as it did. Two years ago, they had Karamo and DePerno signs, so having the cult leader sign isn't a surprise.
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bmw
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Re: 2024 General Election Polling Thread

Unread post by bmw »

Matt wrote: Sat Oct 12, 2024 9:18 am Imagine if Harris wins Indiana. Cult member BMW's taunting is going to look even more silly.
Have you been smoking crack? Trump won Indiana in 2020 by just over 16 points, and the two September polls done this year have it at +16 and +17.

RT calls me crazy for my predictions - predictions backed up by current polls. I'd be curious to see what he has to say about your ridiculous hypothetical that will happen in only 1 out of a thousand parallel universes.
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Re: 2024 General Election Polling Thread

Unread post by Rate This »

bmw wrote: Sat Oct 12, 2024 9:49 am
Matt wrote: Sat Oct 12, 2024 9:18 am Imagine if Harris wins Indiana. Cult member BMW's taunting is going to look even more silly.
Have you been smoking crack? Trump won Indiana in 2020 by just over 16 points, and the two September polls done this year have it at +16 and +17.

RT calls me crazy for my predictions - predictions backed up by current polls. I'd be curious to see what he has to say about your ridiculous hypothetical that will happen in only 1 out of a thousand parallel universes.
Obama did do it in 2008… that said I wouldn’t go out and get a tattoo of it or start buying some extremely expensive item on the premise that you’ll be good for the money as soon as America votes or something. Not impossible but incredibly unlikely.
Donald Trump… In your guts you know he’s nuts.

The Resistance begins now.

This is a pro-Democracy account.

Dear America… you were warned.
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