2024 General Election Polling Thread

[Matt]

https://www.newsweek.com/donald-trump-i ... es-1937905

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August 12

YouGov
North Carolina:
Trump 46
Harris 46

Morning Consult
National:
Harris 47
Trump 44

[TC Talks]

RFK, Jr has hit a bump. He could still be a disruption in swing states, but I don't know which state would follow NY's ruling.

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.’s independent presidential campaign was dealt a blow on Monday when a judge ruled that his petition to appear on New York’s ballot was invalid, saying Mr. Kennedy had used a “sham” address to maintain his New York residency.

The ruling, if it stands, would keep Mr. Kennedy off the ballot in a state where he lived for much of his adult life and could endanger his efforts to be placed on the ballot in dozens of other states. He has three days to appeal the decision, handed down by a judge in Albany, N.Y.

And how did he end up with this hotty?

Mr. Kennedy, 70, an environmental lawyer, spends most of his time at a home in Los Angeles that he shares with his wife, the actress Cheryl Hines.

[Honeyman]

Dunno the particulars but I do know Larry David set them up.

[MotorCityRadioFreak]

The map as I see it on 8/13/24. Subject to change. https://www.realclearpolling.com/my-map/1y8

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The map as I see it on 8/13/24. Subject to change. https://www.realclearpolling.com/my-map/1y8

I so very badly want to move Arizona to blue too.

[MotorCityRadioFreak]

Apparently, some Democrat outside Indy is convinced that Indiana will flip to blue like in 2008 based on a Reddit thread. I can't see it with their jobs situation scuffling. Now, Texas or Alaska flipping blue would be a surprise but not out of left field, believe it or not. Not so much this cycle but by 2028 or 2032.

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August 13

USA Today / Suffolk
Florida:
Trump 47
Harris 42

[TC Talks]

August 13

USA Today / Suffolk
Florida:
Trump 47
Harris 42

Florida

[Honeyman]

August 13

USA Today / Suffolk
Florida:
Trump 47
Harris 42

Florida ALWAYS disappoints for the Democrats.

However, it's looking like North Carolina is clearly in play now.

[MotorCityRadioFreak]

Anything within 10 points is really in play for both sides. It would be great if Texas flipped, but the border ads are unlikely to let that happen.

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August 14

Cook Political Report
Michigan:
Harris 49
Trump 46

Harris 46
Trump 44
Kennedy 6
West 1
Stein 0

Wisconsin:
Harris 49
Trump 46

Harris 48
Trump 43
Kennedy 5
Stein 1
West 0

Pennsylvania:
Harris 49
Trump 48

Harris 48
Trump 43
Kennedy 5
Stein 0
West 0

Arizona:
Harris 48
Trump 46

Harris 46
Trump 42
Kennedy 7
West 1
Stein 0

Georgia:
Trump 48
Harris 48

Trump 46
Harris 46
Kennedy 4
West 1
Stein 1

North Carolina:
Harris 48
Trump 47

Harris 46
Trump 44
Kennedy 4
Stein 1
West 0

Nevada:
Trump 48
Harris 45

Trump 47
Harris 42
Kennedy 5
Stein 1
West 0

Quinnipiac
Pennsylvania:
Harris 50
Trump 47

Harris 48
Trump 45
Kennedy 4
Stein 0

Morning Consult
Arizona:
Harris 47
Trump 44

Florida Atlantic University
Florida:
Trump 50
Harris 47

Trump 47
Harris 45
Kennedy 5

Activote
Texas:
Trump 53
Harris 47

LA Times / Berkeley IGS
California:
Harris 59
Trump 34

Economist / YouGov
General Election:
Harris 46
Trump 44
Kennedy 3
Stein 1
West 0

Generic Congressional Ballot:
Democrats 45
Republicans 44

Monmouth
Generic Congressional Ballot:
Democrats 48
Republicans 46

[zzand]

Reading through our various news sources this morning I am seeing where there are efforts from both parties to ask Republicans who are smart enough to see the danger Trump poses to cross party lines and vote Harris. Will be interesting to see if this works and how well it does.

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Reading through our various news sources this morning I am seeing where there are efforts from both parties to ask Republicans who are smart enough to see the danger Trump poses to cross party lines and vote Harris. Will be interesting to see if this works and how well it does.

The Mayor from Arizona who is co-chair of Republicans for Harris (not sure if Arizona chapter or the whole operation) sure seems to believe they can convince some folks.

August 15

Fabrizio / Anzalone
Michigan:
Harris 48
Trump 48

Trump 45
Harris 43
Kennedy 6
Stein 1
West 1

Senate:
Slotkin 47
Rogers 44

American Greatness / TIPP
Wisconsin:
Harris 47
Trump 47

Harris 46
Trump 45
Kennedy 6
Stein 1
West 1

Franklin & Marshall
Pennsylvania:
Harris 46
Trump 43
Kennedy 6
Stein 1

FOX News
General Election:
Trump 50
Harris 49

Trump 45
Harris 45
Kennedy 6
Stein 1
West 1

Emerson
General Election:
Harris 50
Trump 46

Harris 48
Trump 44
Kennedy 4
Stein 1
West 0

Generic Congressional Ballot:
Democrats 48
Republicans 46

Rasmussen Reports
General Election:
Trump 49
Harris 45

Trump 48
Harris 44
Kennedy 4
Stein 1
West 0

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August 16

Emerson
Pennsylvania:
Trump 49
Harris 48

Trump 47
Harris 47
Kennedy 3
Stein 0
West 0