Which of the righties will be gone after from the board after 11-3?

[Rate This]

Does anyone have a link to that blank map?

270towin.com and you can make your own map.

[MotorCityRadioFreak]

This is a pretty fair map I think.


https://www.270towin.com/map-images/WpkQZ.png

[TC Talks]

Huh, AZ, PA, and NC red? Maybe one will go to Trump, not all three.

[Rate This]

This is a pretty fair map I think.


https://www.270towin.com/map-images/WpkQZ.png

Interesting. Not a lot of faith in folks here flipping to blue?

[Rate This]

Here's my projected electoral map. I went 48/50 in 2016. Let's see how I do this time around:

This your final answer or are you gonna modify this and put out a final map next Tuesday when we do the predictions thread?

Also do you have Nebraska 2 and 3 going Biden?

Interesting too... Pennsylvania is the literal lynch pin of your map.

[MotorCityRadioFreak]

Macomb County is looking bad.

I only have AZ going red. I think PA and NC go blue based on what happened in 2008 and 2012 with Obama.

I will be making one based on worst and best case scenario as well soon.

[Rate This]

As of right now I have it looking like this:


** This will change by Election Day, we have a weeks worth of polls to go but this is how the averages presently stack up. I won’t make a final until next Tuesday. I doubt that Texas goes blue but Georgia might.

[TC Talks]

Texas is a pipe dream

[MotorCityRadioFreak]

Democratic best case scenario:

"https://www.270towin.com/map-images/g1BDV.png"

[MotorCityRadioFreak]

Republican best case scenario(add blue to NY):

"https://www.270towin.com/maps/zlGKX"

[Rate This]

Texas is a pipe dream

I expect it to turn red. But I’m using an average of the last weeks polls. So a week out that’s where we sit.

[Matt]

Huh, AZ, PA, and NC red? Maybe one will go to Trump, not all three.

Arkansas and Indiana are firmly in the Trump column.

As of right now I have it looking like this:


** This will change by Election Day, we have a weeks worth of polls to go but this is how the averages presently stack up. I won’t make a final until next Tuesday. I doubt that Texas goes blue but Georgia might.

Remember my comment about certifiably insane? This doesn't help push the needle...

Republican best case scenario(add blue to NY):

"https://www.270towin.com/maps/zlGKX"

I think you missed clicking some states to red. I'm assuming Alaska was meant to be red, but I also think that if you're saying Virginia, Maine, and New Hampshire could be red, I think you can also add Colorado, Minnesota, and New Mexico.

[MotorCityRadioFreak]

Huh, AZ, PA, and NC red? Maybe one will go to Trump, not all three.

Arkansas and Indiana are firmly in the Trump column.

As of right now I have it looking like this:


** This will change by Election Day, we have a weeks worth of polls to go but this is how the averages presently stack up. I won’t make a final until next Tuesday. I doubt that Texas goes blue but Georgia might.

Remember my comment about certifiably insane? This doesn't help push the needle...

Republican best case scenario(add blue to NY):

"https://www.270towin.com/maps/zlGKX"

I think you missed clicking some states to red. I'm assuming Alaska was meant to be red, but I also think that if you're saying Virginia, Maine, and New Hampshire could be red, I think you can also add Colorado, Minnesota, and New Mexico.

Yes, I meant to make Alaska red. Virginia and New Hampshire are still swing states a little bit. Maine was because of Susan Collins.

Minnesota hasn't gone red since the 60s. Colorado has tons of former Californians. New Mexico has far too many Hispanics for Biden.

[bmw]

This your final answer or are you gonna modify this and put out a final map next Tuesday when we do the predictions thread?

It is still subject to change, but I will leave it alone IF there's no "October surprises" in the next week or significant polling shifts.

Michigan is the hardest state for me to call. My gut instinct says that there will be a backlash against Whitmer, but none of the numbers I'm seeing anywhere seem to be bearing that out. Close call, but I gotta go blue here. Wisconsin kind of in the same boat with regards to recent polling. But Pennsylvania - yes, this is the state in my mind that determines the election. If it goes red, I think all the toss-ups currently redder than it (NC, FL, GA, IA, AZ) go red as well. I stand by my belief that Biden blew it big time with his energy comments during the past debate and that PA is the state most likely to go red because of it. (Same for Texas, though I never thought Texas was in doubt).

[Bryce]

I really think what most of the pollsters, and many here, are missing is the number of voters that wont tell ANYONE they're voting for Trump.

My daughter is voting for Trump. She say's watching Biden reminds her of when Grandpa first started going downhill.

She won't tell any of her friends, or a pollster, for fear of ridicule and reprisal.