Anecdotal evidence and polling as well as early voting results had young people possibly showing up at a 40% clip which is double their usual and would be the most in decades... Early voting was up about 8 million from 2014 and ended up at 36 million which is about halfway between 2014 and 2016's early totals.Bryce wrote: ↑Tue Nov 06, 2018 12:29 pmNot sure how much to read into this, but:
My poling place had two precincts. One encompasses many of the apartment complexes in the area an leans heavily Democrat. The other leans heavily Republican. There were long lines for the Democrat precinct and no wait whatsoever to cast a ballot in the other.
Might not be a good sign for the Republicans this election.
Went to vote and all 3 precincts are in one fire station. At my precinct I was in the mid 400's at about 1pm.
My final prediction is
Governor: Whitmer
Senator: Stabenow
AG: Coin Flip but I voted for Nessel
SOS: Benson
Both Stevens and Slotkin win
Dems win in Arizona, Nevada, West Virginia, Indiana, Florida and Montana
Not gonna even try to forecast Missouri
GOP gets North Dakota and Texas
Tennessee has been waffling back and forth in the polls all week but Blackburn would be the favorite still
Senate: 51-49 or 52-48 GOP
House: 230-205 Democrats
Arizona, Indiana, Florida and Missouri are unlikely to be called quickly.
Scott Walker is swept out to sea in Wisconsin, Bruce Rauner loses in Illinois, Abrams narrowly loses in Georgia, Cordray wins in Ohio and Gillum wins in Florida. Nevada also elects a Democrat for Governor.
Thats about all the major ones I can think of.
The polls are modeled after the 2014 midterms by the way so if young people or minorities spike in turnout then the polls will have been underdone and the Democrats will reap the benefits of that. Also the prognosticators are being much more conservative this time because of the shocker in 2016 with The Donald...