I disagree with our weather forecasters on TV

[km1125]

For anybody curious, here is what I come up with after downloading 15 years of data from accuweather for my location in northern Michigan. What I was curious about was the daytime highs compared to average for the day. If the actual high for the day was exactly average or above average, I counted it as +1. If it was below average, I counted as -1.

After compiling the data for 2006-2021, here are the results:

Jan -8 (meaning 8 more days below average than at or above average)
Feb -46
Mar -30
Apr -53
May -15
June -14
July +16
Aug +12
Sep -14
Oct -5
Nov -13
Dec -6

My conclusion? February, March, and especially April have been WAY below normal over the past 15 years. That's a combined 129 more days below normal than at or above normal for just those 3 months in a 15-year period. June-Sept averaged out perfectly right to the day. Fall through early winter was slightly below average.

My question is, what is causing these lingering winters?

Perhaps it's finally coming... that Ice Age the Leonard Nimoy warned us about all those years ago....
[youtube]www.youtube.com/results?search_query=le ... oy+ice+age[/youtube]

I thought I just saw Andrew Humphrey on the air a couple days ago telling us how much warmer we are since 1970. Did I hear him wrong?

[bmw]

The long-range weather forecasting for our state this year is as bad as I've ever seen. For months now, any time you check them, the long-range computer models (GFS specifically, probably others as well) show ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES starting 2 or 3 weeks out and then continuing on for eternity. But it is ALWAYS 2 or 3 weeks out. The current week or 2 weeks are always much below normal once they actually get here. Been going on like this for some time now.

This is what the 6-week (week-by-week) outlook (deparature from average) has looked like just about any time you look at it for the past few months:



AND even more laughable is the month-by-month outlook. If you look at the current maps, each and every month of July, August, September, October, November, and December, there is literally NOT A SINGLE SHADE OF BLUE ANYWHERE in the entire lower 48. And even very few smatterings of just "normal." They insist that the entire country is going to be significantly above normal for a full 6-month stretch. But you wait. When those months actually come, there will be large blue patches SOMEWHERE. Guaranteed.

I can't help but wonder if they're over-accounting for climate change in their models.

[MasterB]

I don't look at the month-by-month forecast only once a year since it's way off 3 months off along with 6 months. Why local weather only shows 6-10 days out if the map is cold or warm. ACCUWeather has the summer forecast out.

[Mega Hertz]

Dude. I just want 72-77 degrees, pure sunshine, for anywhere from 48-72 hours. Dry weather. Dry ground. Shorts and a sleeveless shirt on the job site. I would suck dick for 2 warm, sunny days in a row. A shot of semen down my throat. 75. Sunny. Nice breeze. Windows down. No. Instead I live in Seattle, Siberia and England all the time.

[Mega Hertz]

I suppose not. But that is where my frustration level is with this garbage.

[Mega Hertz]

Some good news! It really is getting beyond depressing now. Try to hump a 400 pound pressure wash machine in the rain, uphill, in the mud. I need a break.

[bmw]

Starting to look like all of next week is going to feel like July. Highs in the mid 70s-mid 80s, lows in the 60s, dewpoints in the 60s.

Like mother nature will be flipping a switch. And I hate that - going right from early April to early July weather while skipping the comfortable weather in-between. I'm not complaining that it will be warm, but so many springs we go through this - the cold lingers forever, then BAM, summer!

[Bobbert]

Starting to look like all of next week is going to feel like July. Highs in the mid 70s-mid 80s, lows in the 60s, dewpoints in the 60s.

Like mother nature will be flipping a switch. And I hate that - going right from early April to early July weather while skipping the comfortable weather in-between. I'm not complaining that it will be warm, but so many springs we go through this - the cold lingers forever, then BAM, summer!

I went to college in West Virginia and got to enjoy the picture perfect kind of spring that you see on calendars and TV commercials. Then about this time of year I would return to Michigan and have to get used to the cold again.

I agree about the weather pattern. It's the flip side of our beautiful, casual, gradual autumns that suddenly turn very cold around Thanksgiving.