Re: Major snowstorm brewing
Posted: Sun Jan 30, 2022 1:40 pm
It's too early to predict anything. This sounds like Mlive weather hype.

No worries MCRF. Definitely look at Pivotal sometime if you want to dive in a bit deeper with the models. Only place that has free ECMWF output of all parameters, not just certain ones (to my knowledge). Plus, it's more user friendly than Tropical Tidbits IMO.MotorCityRadioFreak wrote: ↑Sun Jan 30, 2022 2:14 am Note that I said that I don't buy those totals for Missouri. The Tuesday forecast calls for highs in the 50s for both St. Louis and Kansas City.
For Michigan, I can easily see 12-15 inches of snow this time of year. It will get up to 41 the day before the storm, but that won't heat the ground up to withstand 48 hours of snow. Until I see the NAM, GFS, or European models showing over a foot Monday, I won't be too worried. The biggest concern I would have is losing power like I did in March 2017.
The GFS is spitting out 12 now around Detroit and 24-28 from a line maybe Ft. Wayne to Just barely south of Toledo. So a 75 mile track to the north would be a catastrophic storm for southeast Michigan. Somebody is gonna get a couple feet of snow it looks like. That revised model upped our totals 3 inches and moved that crazy snow amount north from Cincinnati to just south of us. This is fluid to say the least.MWmetalhead wrote: ↑Sun Jan 30, 2022 4:29 pm AccuWeather is forecasting 8 to 12 inches for Southfield, Detroit and Toledo, and 6 to 10 inches for Ann Arbor. Only 2 to 4 inches for Flint. The mid-afternoon update is the first forecast where they've indicated specific totals for the upcoming storm.
A 75 mile shift in storm track could cause a major difference in accumulations.