Week of 9/6

[MWmetalhead]

Next chance of rain looks to be late Tuesday night into Wednesday evening, with some model data showing a possibility of 0.5 to 1 inch. The GFS places the heaviest precip across far southern Michigan whereas the ECMWF places the heaviest precip across west central and NW lower Michigan. Severe weather looks to be a possibility since both major models show decent bulk shear; however, surface based instability is not terribly impressive, with peak values of near or just under 1000 j/kg. Once that system rolls through, the models are forecasting dry weather.

Most days, high temps in southern Michigan will likely be within a couple degrees of seasonal averages.

My forecasted high temps for Detroit and for Grand Rapids:

9/6: 79, 77
9/7: 77, 78
9/8: 81, 82
9/9: 79, 75
9/10: 74, 74
9/11: 76, 77
9/12: 81, 80
9/13: 77, 75

GFS model run from 8AM this morning; first number is projected 5PM temp for Detroit and second number is projected 5PM temp for Grand Rapids:

9/6: 79, 78
9/7: 78, 80
9/8: 80, 83, with major heat wave from the central plains into the ozarks and mid-south.
9/9: 69, 72
9/10: 72, 71
9/11: 76, 77
9/12: 79, 82
9/13: 84, 70 (this solution has very low confidence given absurd output showing highs of 102 in Des Moines and 103 in Springfield, IL).

Euro-AIFS (Artificial Intelligence Forecasting System) model run from 8AM this morning; first number is projected 2PM temp for Detroit and second number is projected 2PM temp for Grand Rapids (I was unable to obtain 5PM data from this source):

9/6: 77, 78
9/7: 75, 79
9/8: 79, 82
9/9: 81, 75
9/10: 74, 74
9/11: 73, 75
9/12: 80, 79
9/13: 74, 73

[TC Talks]

Zero complaints about this week...

[MWmetalhead]

I agree. This is the type of weather I like for this time of year. Today was 10 out of 10 in my book.

[MotorCityRadioFreak]

It's great! No butt sweat.