Florida was worse for fatalities. To be fair, they had more old people per capita. The elderly faired the worse, that's why I am in disbelief why Trump mocked the vaccine.Matt wrote: ↑Sat Oct 08, 2022 4:35 pmWhitmer failed on covid. She should have followed what DeSantis did in Florida. She killed soooo many old people.TC Talks wrote: ↑Sat Oct 08, 2022 4:14 pmFacts:
A) Whitmer orders COVID closures (like most states)
B) DeVos's PAC hires "protesters" and organizes a rally.https://www.bridgemi.com/michigan-gover ... -order?amp
C) People ignore COVID precautions, Michigan ends up on the top 10 COVID deaths per capita list.
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/202 ... cases.html
D) Republicans are overwhelmingly likely to die from COVID outside essential workers. https://www.brookings.edu/blog/fixgov/2 ... ion-sites/
See how facts can help someone make determinations?
I understand that you will argue this point into the ground, but how are all those non-vaxer friends and family doing these days?
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The Republicans Are Going to Win Big Nationally
Re: The Republicans Are Going to Win Big Nationally
“Blessed are those who are righteous in his name.”
― Matt
Posting Content © 2024 TC Talks Holdings LP.
― Matt
Posting Content © 2024 TC Talks Holdings LP.
Re: The Republicans Are Going to Win Big Nationally
Once again, you get your facts wrong. Per the New York Times, as of today, Michigan sits at 388 deaths per 100k while Florida sits at 380.
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/202 ... cases.html
So Michigan was worse EVEN DESPITE having a younger population. Oh, that's right, Betsy DeVos was the cause of the excess deaths because she was supposedly behind funding some rallies whereby people protested our governor's unconstitutional shutdown orders.
Re: The Republicans Are Going to Win Big Nationally
I would not exactly celebrate a difference of 8 when the number is pushing 400.bmw wrote: ↑Sun Oct 09, 2022 12:45 pmOnce again, you get your facts wrong. Per the New York Times, as of today, Michigan sits at 388 deaths per 100k while Florida sits at 380.
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/202 ... cases.html
So Michigan was worse EVEN DESPITE having a younger population. Oh, that's right, Betsy DeVos was the cause of the excess deaths because she was supposedly behind funding some rallies whereby people protested our governor's unconstitutional shutdown orders.
Re: The Republicans Are Going to Win Big Nationally
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/new-yo ... ns-toss-upRate This wrote: ↑Fri Oct 07, 2022 9:55 pmThat’s basically the $64 question. Though Democratic enthusiasm is through the roof right now and is slightly higher than Republican enthusiasm. I wouldn’t discount abortion driving people out. And there are more Democratic leaners than Republican leaners on the whole. The problem for a long time has been that Democrats simply don’t show up in the midterms. If that’s changing then we don’t get a red wave. I think the Republicans may end up with a 5-10 seat majority in the house. Nevada is probably going red. Ohio, Wisconsin and North Carolina are true toss-ups. Arizona, Georgia and Pennsylvania probably go blue. This may end up more like 1998 or 2002 than say 1994 or 2010. My guess is that the Republicans end up around 225 and the Democrats end up at 51-52.bmw wrote: ↑Fri Oct 07, 2022 9:42 pmAs an aside, the one thing that could lead to a gigantic red tsunami is if there are a record number of Republicans (disgruntled over 2020) that aren't answering polls. This is a complete unknown right now, but if Republicans do significantly outperform the polls nationally, this will be why.
Although I use RCP for polling they do include some polls that don’t make sense. Emerson has had a clear Republican bias this cycle. Trafalgar has come up with some astoundingly whackadoodle polls too… the Republican Gubernatorial candidate down 2 in New York? Really???
The site itself is also clearly fairly right wing.
Here in Michigan I expect all 3 to win in a walk on the strength of turnout on the abortion issue. Since Dobbs was decided the Democrats have outperformed the partisan makeup of the district in every special election that’s been held. And the stunning result in Kansas as well as polls in places the Democrats have no business being competitive in like North Dakota At Large being a 4 point contest (!)… something is up.
Voting for Trump is dumber than playing Russian Roulette with fully loaded chambers.
Re: The Republicans Are Going to Win Big Nationally
Beats me…Matt wrote: ↑Sat Oct 15, 2022 9:51 pmhttps://www.foxnews.com/politics/new-yo ... ns-toss-upRate This wrote: ↑Fri Oct 07, 2022 9:55 pmThat’s basically the $64 question. Though Democratic enthusiasm is through the roof right now and is slightly higher than Republican enthusiasm. I wouldn’t discount abortion driving people out. And there are more Democratic leaners than Republican leaners on the whole. The problem for a long time has been that Democrats simply don’t show up in the midterms. If that’s changing then we don’t get a red wave. I think the Republicans may end up with a 5-10 seat majority in the house. Nevada is probably going red. Ohio, Wisconsin and North Carolina are true toss-ups. Arizona, Georgia and Pennsylvania probably go blue. This may end up more like 1998 or 2002 than say 1994 or 2010. My guess is that the Republicans end up around 225 and the Democrats end up at 51-52.bmw wrote: ↑Fri Oct 07, 2022 9:42 pmAs an aside, the one thing that could lead to a gigantic red tsunami is if there are a record number of Republicans (disgruntled over 2020) that aren't answering polls. This is a complete unknown right now, but if Republicans do significantly outperform the polls nationally, this will be why.
Although I use RCP for polling they do include some polls that don’t make sense. Emerson has had a clear Republican bias this cycle. Trafalgar has come up with some astoundingly whackadoodle polls too… the Republican Gubernatorial candidate down 2 in New York? Really???
The site itself is also clearly fairly right wing.
Here in Michigan I expect all 3 to win in a walk on the strength of turnout on the abortion issue. Since Dobbs was decided the Democrats have outperformed the partisan makeup of the district in every special election that’s been held. And the stunning result in Kansas as well as polls in places the Democrats have no business being competitive in like North Dakota At Large being a 4 point contest (!)… something is up.
The only thing I can think of is they have switched from Registered to Likely voters.
Someone should tell FOX that there is an independent in the Oregon race that is splitting the Democratic vote before they celebrate too hard and pull something.
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Re: The Republicans Are Going to Win Big Nationally
Does Oregon have ranked choice voting?Rate This wrote: ↑Sat Oct 15, 2022 10:31 pmBeats me…Matt wrote: ↑Sat Oct 15, 2022 9:51 pmhttps://www.foxnews.com/politics/new-yo ... ns-toss-upRate This wrote: ↑Fri Oct 07, 2022 9:55 pmThat’s basically the $64 question. Though Democratic enthusiasm is through the roof right now and is slightly higher than Republican enthusiasm. I wouldn’t discount abortion driving people out. And there are more Democratic leaners than Republican leaners on the whole. The problem for a long time has been that Democrats simply don’t show up in the midterms. If that’s changing then we don’t get a red wave. I think the Republicans may end up with a 5-10 seat majority in the house. Nevada is probably going red. Ohio, Wisconsin and North Carolina are true toss-ups. Arizona, Georgia and Pennsylvania probably go blue. This may end up more like 1998 or 2002 than say 1994 or 2010. My guess is that the Republicans end up around 225 and the Democrats end up at 51-52.bmw wrote: ↑Fri Oct 07, 2022 9:42 pmAs an aside, the one thing that could lead to a gigantic red tsunami is if there are a record number of Republicans (disgruntled over 2020) that aren't answering polls. This is a complete unknown right now, but if Republicans do significantly outperform the polls nationally, this will be why.
Although I use RCP for polling they do include some polls that don’t make sense. Emerson has had a clear Republican bias this cycle. Trafalgar has come up with some astoundingly whackadoodle polls too… the Republican Gubernatorial candidate down 2 in New York? Really???
The site itself is also clearly fairly right wing.
Here in Michigan I expect all 3 to win in a walk on the strength of turnout on the abortion issue. Since Dobbs was decided the Democrats have outperformed the partisan makeup of the district in every special election that’s been held. And the stunning result in Kansas as well as polls in places the Democrats have no business being competitive in like North Dakota At Large being a 4 point contest (!)… something is up.
The only thing I can think of is they have switched from Registered to Likely voters.
Someone should tell FOX that there is an independent in the Oregon race that is splitting the Democratic vote before they celebrate too hard and pull something.
They/them, non-binary and proud.
Remember that “2000 Mules” was concocted by a circus of elephants.
The right needs to stop worry about what’s between people’s legs. Instead, they should focus on what’s between their ears.
Audacity sucks.
Remember that “2000 Mules” was concocted by a circus of elephants.
The right needs to stop worry about what’s between people’s legs. Instead, they should focus on what’s between their ears.
Audacity sucks.
Re: The Republicans Are Going to Win Big Nationally
No… but it is on the ballot as an initiative so they are trying to get it.MotorCityRadioFreak wrote: ↑Sun Oct 16, 2022 1:20 amDoes Oregon have ranked choice voting?Rate This wrote: ↑Sat Oct 15, 2022 10:31 pmBeats me…Matt wrote: ↑Sat Oct 15, 2022 9:51 pmhttps://www.foxnews.com/politics/new-yo ... ns-toss-upRate This wrote: ↑Fri Oct 07, 2022 9:55 pmThat’s basically the $64 question. Though Democratic enthusiasm is through the roof right now and is slightly higher than Republican enthusiasm. I wouldn’t discount abortion driving people out. And there are more Democratic leaners than Republican leaners on the whole. The problem for a long time has been that Democrats simply don’t show up in the midterms. If that’s changing then we don’t get a red wave. I think the Republicans may end up with a 5-10 seat majority in the house. Nevada is probably going red. Ohio, Wisconsin and North Carolina are true toss-ups. Arizona, Georgia and Pennsylvania probably go blue. This may end up more like 1998 or 2002 than say 1994 or 2010. My guess is that the Republicans end up around 225 and the Democrats end up at 51-52.bmw wrote: ↑Fri Oct 07, 2022 9:42 pmAs an aside, the one thing that could lead to a gigantic red tsunami is if there are a record number of Republicans (disgruntled over 2020) that aren't answering polls. This is a complete unknown right now, but if Republicans do significantly outperform the polls nationally, this will be why.
Although I use RCP for polling they do include some polls that don’t make sense. Emerson has had a clear Republican bias this cycle. Trafalgar has come up with some astoundingly whackadoodle polls too… the Republican Gubernatorial candidate down 2 in New York? Really???
The site itself is also clearly fairly right wing.
Here in Michigan I expect all 3 to win in a walk on the strength of turnout on the abortion issue. Since Dobbs was decided the Democrats have outperformed the partisan makeup of the district in every special election that’s been held. And the stunning result in Kansas as well as polls in places the Democrats have no business being competitive in like North Dakota At Large being a 4 point contest (!)… something is up.
The only thing I can think of is they have switched from Registered to Likely voters.
Someone should tell FOX that there is an independent in the Oregon race that is splitting the Democratic vote before they celebrate too hard and pull something.
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Re: The Republicans Are Going to Win Big Nationally
I think congress needs to switch to technology and require them in their local district office on a daily basis.Matt wrote: ↑Sat Oct 08, 2022 6:28 amCarpetbagger Slotkin should be ousted, but will she be?
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/elissa ... -two-years
Ask not what your country can do FOR you; ask what they are about to do TO YOU!!
Re: The Republicans Are Going to Win Big Nationally
With passing day, this is looking more and more like a larger-than-expected red wave may be coming.
I'm revising my House seat gain for Republicans up to +30 seats and I think Republicans will take a majority, albeit slim, in the Senate with either 51 or 52 seats. I think Oz is going to take Pennsylvania and I think Walker is now a coin flip to take Georgia.
I'm revising my House seat gain for Republicans up to +30 seats and I think Republicans will take a majority, albeit slim, in the Senate with either 51 or 52 seats. I think Oz is going to take Pennsylvania and I think Walker is now a coin flip to take Georgia.
Re: The Republicans Are Going to Win Big Nationally
I highly doubt the Republicans will take the senate. Oz still isn't leading in Pennsylvania... not ONCE yet. I still think we are looking at a likely voter makeup that may be undercounting Democrats enthusiasm. I'm going maybe a 10 seat gain still. Everything is narrowing to a tie... I don't see any reversing of direction in any substantial way yet. Just a lot of Republicans coming home after brutal primaries all over the place.bmw wrote: ↑Tue Oct 18, 2022 9:20 pmWith passing day, this is looking more and more like a larger-than-expected red wave may be coming.
I'm revising my House seat gain for Republicans up to +30 seats and I think Republicans will take a majority, albeit slim, in the Senate with either 51 or 52 seats. I think Oz is going to take Pennsylvania and I think Walker is now a coin flip to take Georgia.
Re: The Republicans Are Going to Win Big Nationally
Hate to say it Rate, but I think Beemer is right. Republicans simply don't care. They all know Walker is a complete idiot and in no way qualified to be a senator, but they'll vote for him because of the R next to his name. They know Oz could give one fuck about the people of Pennsylvania, but want that seat. Masters is an idiot....but Arizonans?!? GOP will win the Senate.Rate This wrote: ↑Tue Oct 18, 2022 9:27 pmI highly doubt the Republicans will take the senate. Oz still isn't leading in Pennsylvania... not ONCE yet. I still think we are looking at a likely voter makeup that may be undercounting Democrats enthusiasm. I'm going maybe a 10 seat gain still. Everything is narrowing to a tie... I don't see any reversing of direction in any substantial way yet. Just a lot of Republicans coming home after brutal primaries all over the place.bmw wrote: ↑Tue Oct 18, 2022 9:20 pmWith passing day, this is looking more and more like a larger-than-expected red wave may be coming.
I'm revising my House seat gain for Republicans up to +30 seats and I think Republicans will take a majority, albeit slim, in the Senate with either 51 or 52 seats. I think Oz is going to take Pennsylvania and I think Walker is now a coin flip to take Georgia.
The censorship king from out of state.
Re: The Republicans Are Going to Win Big Nationally
For that matter Walker isn't leading yet either... nor is masters.... So they are just gonna magically wake up on Tuesday and win?Honeyman wrote: ↑Tue Oct 18, 2022 9:58 pmHate to say it Rate, but I think Beemer is right. Republicans simply don't care. They all know Walker is a complete idiot and in no way qualified to be a senator, but they'll vote for him because of the R next to his name. They know Oz could give one fuck about the people of Pennsylvania, but want that seat. Masters is an idiot....but Arizonans?!? GOP will win the Senate.Rate This wrote: ↑Tue Oct 18, 2022 9:27 pmI highly doubt the Republicans will take the senate. Oz still isn't leading in Pennsylvania... not ONCE yet. I still think we are looking at a likely voter makeup that may be undercounting Democrats enthusiasm. I'm going maybe a 10 seat gain still. Everything is narrowing to a tie... I don't see any reversing of direction in any substantial way yet. Just a lot of Republicans coming home after brutal primaries all over the place.bmw wrote: ↑Tue Oct 18, 2022 9:20 pmWith passing day, this is looking more and more like a larger-than-expected red wave may be coming.
I'm revising my House seat gain for Republicans up to +30 seats and I think Republicans will take a majority, albeit slim, in the Senate with either 51 or 52 seats. I think Oz is going to take Pennsylvania and I think Walker is now a coin flip to take Georgia.
We have evidence of NARROWING... none of the three have LEADS anywhere. Its a H*** leap to figure they'll just win.
Re: The Republicans Are Going to Win Big Nationally
Just my feeling.Rate This wrote: ↑Tue Oct 18, 2022 10:15 pmFor that matter Walker isn't leading yet either... nor is masters.... So they are just gonna magically wake up on Tuesday and win?Honeyman wrote: ↑Tue Oct 18, 2022 9:58 pmHate to say it Rate, but I think Beemer is right. Republicans simply don't care. They all know Walker is a complete idiot and in no way qualified to be a senator, but they'll vote for him because of the R next to his name. They know Oz could give one fuck about the people of Pennsylvania, but want that seat. Masters is an idiot....but Arizonans?!? GOP will win the Senate.Rate This wrote: ↑Tue Oct 18, 2022 9:27 pmI highly doubt the Republicans will take the senate. Oz still isn't leading in Pennsylvania... not ONCE yet. I still think we are looking at a likely voter makeup that may be undercounting Democrats enthusiasm. I'm going maybe a 10 seat gain still. Everything is narrowing to a tie... I don't see any reversing of direction in any substantial way yet. Just a lot of Republicans coming home after brutal primaries all over the place.bmw wrote: ↑Tue Oct 18, 2022 9:20 pmWith passing day, this is looking more and more like a larger-than-expected red wave may be coming.
I'm revising my House seat gain for Republicans up to +30 seats and I think Republicans will take a majority, albeit slim, in the Senate with either 51 or 52 seats. I think Oz is going to take Pennsylvania and I think Walker is now a coin flip to take Georgia.
We have evidence of NARROWING... none of the three have LEADS anywhere. Its a H*** leap to figure they'll just win.
The censorship king from out of state.
Re: The Republicans Are Going to Win Big Nationally
I get it… but all I’m saying is I want to see some evidence too… I could have been sold on Trump winning MICHIGAN last time based on yard signs and things. I could be sold on a GOP wave this time too based on the same. I get the “it’s a wash” feeling though honestly.Honeyman wrote: ↑Tue Oct 18, 2022 10:24 pmJust my feeling.Rate This wrote: ↑Tue Oct 18, 2022 10:15 pmFor that matter Walker isn't leading yet either... nor is masters.... So they are just gonna magically wake up on Tuesday and win?Honeyman wrote: ↑Tue Oct 18, 2022 9:58 pmHate to say it Rate, but I think Beemer is right. Republicans simply don't care. They all know Walker is a complete idiot and in no way qualified to be a senator, but they'll vote for him because of the R next to his name. They know Oz could give one fuck about the people of Pennsylvania, but want that seat. Masters is an idiot....but Arizonans?!? GOP will win the Senate.Rate This wrote: ↑Tue Oct 18, 2022 9:27 pmI highly doubt the Republicans will take the senate. Oz still isn't leading in Pennsylvania... not ONCE yet. I still think we are looking at a likely voter makeup that may be undercounting Democrats enthusiasm. I'm going maybe a 10 seat gain still. Everything is narrowing to a tie... I don't see any reversing of direction in any substantial way yet. Just a lot of Republicans coming home after brutal primaries all over the place.bmw wrote: ↑Tue Oct 18, 2022 9:20 pmWith passing day, this is looking more and more like a larger-than-expected red wave may be coming.
I'm revising my House seat gain for Republicans up to +30 seats and I think Republicans will take a majority, albeit slim, in the Senate with either 51 or 52 seats. I think Oz is going to take Pennsylvania and I think Walker is now a coin flip to take Georgia.
We have evidence of NARROWING... none of the three have LEADS anywhere. Its a H*** leap to figure they'll just win.
Re: The Republicans Are Going to Win Big Nationally
Polls are crap.
I'd put more credence in BMW's opinion than pretty much any poll.1. PRRI/Brookings Poll released on October 19. 2016: Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump by 15 points
2. NBC/Wall Street Journal Poll released on October 10: Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump by 14 points
3. AP Poll released on October 26: Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump by 14 points
New York and Chicago were all in with respect to their sanctuary status — until they were hit with the challenge of actually providing sanctuary. In other words, typical liberal hypocrisy.