75 today? All I see are clouds... Metro is at 67 at noon.
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Just remember...
- MWmetalhead
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Re: Just remember...
Partly cloudy for Detroit today (like Andrew touted this morning)? Ain't happenin'!!! Maybe some partial clearing after about 4PM, emphasis on "maybe."
Inland areas - especially far west and far north - will see nicer sky conditions than Metro Detroit. Daytime highs will also be a good 5 to 7 degrees warmer in those areas.
Monroe area once again gets the shortest end of the stick. They should be able to nudge up to 70 (barely), though.
74 to 76 for most of Metro Detroit sounds right. Areas from north central Michigan back through southwest Michigan will reach 80+.
Inland areas - especially far west and far north - will see nicer sky conditions than Metro Detroit. Daytime highs will also be a good 5 to 7 degrees warmer in those areas.
Monroe area once again gets the shortest end of the stick. They should be able to nudge up to 70 (barely), though.
74 to 76 for most of Metro Detroit sounds right. Areas from north central Michigan back through southwest Michigan will reach 80+.
Morgan Wallen is a piece of garbage.
Re: Just remember...
I’m talking 75 and partly sunny at metro... when pulling up my house in Wayne on the NWS site it gives conditions and a forecast for the “official” High...MWmetalhead wrote: ↑Sat May 23, 2020 12:55 pmPartly cloudy for Detroit today (like Andrew touted this morning)? Ain't happenin'!!! Maybe some partial clearing after about 4PM, emphasis on "maybe."
Inland areas - especially far west and far north - will see nicer sky conditions than Metro Detroit. Daytime highs will also be a good 5 to 7 degrees warmer in those areas.
Monroe area once again gets the shortest end of the stick. They should be able to nudge up to 70 (barely), though.
74 to 76 for most of Metro Detroit sounds right. Areas from north central Michigan back through southwest Michigan will reach 80+.
- MWmetalhead
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Re: Just remember...
Dopey Andrew predicts 84 for Detroit tomorrow. He's out to lunch on that prediction.
I expect mostly cloudy skies tomorrow and highs in the upper 70s for Detroit, probably around 77.
I expect mostly cloudy skies tomorrow and highs in the upper 70s for Detroit, probably around 77.
Morgan Wallen is a piece of garbage.
- MWmetalhead
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Re: Just remember...
Right on queue, the sun within the last 20 minutes has begun playing peek-a-boo with the clouds.
The cloud deck is thinning in spots. A few very small blue sky patches have opened.
The cloud deck is thinning in spots. A few very small blue sky patches have opened.
Morgan Wallen is a piece of garbage.
Re: Just remember...
70 at Metro at 4pm. NWS says Partly Sunny and 84 tomorrow with a 40% Chance of storms between 2 and 8pm.MWmetalhead wrote: ↑Sat May 23, 2020 4:32 pmRight on queue, the sun within the last 20 minutes has begun playing peek-a-boo with the clouds.
The cloud deck is thinning in spots. A few very small blue sky patches have opened.
- MWmetalhead
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Re: Just remember...
Metro, City and Pontiac topped out at 72. Flint 76. Monroe 68.
My house (a couple miles from the Troy airport) topped out at 73.
My house (a couple miles from the Troy airport) topped out at 73.
Morgan Wallen is a piece of garbage.
Re: Just remember...
Maybe we are in the wrong business?MWmetalhead wrote: ↑Sat May 23, 2020 8:49 pmMetro, City and Pontiac topped out at 72. Flint 76. Monroe 68.
- MWmetalhead
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Re: Just remember...
We've been more accurate than the guys on TV!
NWS in this morning's forecast discussion called for low 80s in the inland reaches of their forecast area. Didn't happen.
I was 2 to 4 degrees too warm today with my call, which ain't bad.
NWS in this morning's forecast discussion called for low 80s in the inland reaches of their forecast area. Didn't happen.
I was 2 to 4 degrees too warm today with my call, which ain't bad.
Morgan Wallen is a piece of garbage.
- MWmetalhead
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Re: Just remember...
Weather Channel also is saying mid 80s tomorrow.
I don't see it.
Areas downstream from where our air will be coming were only around 80 to low 80s. They don't have lake breezes with which to deal. Or super moist ground.
I feel good with my call of upper 70s. Could a couple spots crack 80? Sure.
Now, if a mid level cap forms, precip is limited/ brief, and decent sun occurs, my forecast won't hold up and low to even mid 80s will be fairly common. For that to occur, the warm front will need to slide thru quickly and advance well north of I-69 (north of M-46, let's say).
I just think there will be residual clouds from early morning activity and a number of convergence boundaries that could spark precip. I'm skeptical the front will haul ass far enough north to nullify those boundaries.
I don't see it.
Areas downstream from where our air will be coming were only around 80 to low 80s. They don't have lake breezes with which to deal. Or super moist ground.
I feel good with my call of upper 70s. Could a couple spots crack 80? Sure.
Now, if a mid level cap forms, precip is limited/ brief, and decent sun occurs, my forecast won't hold up and low to even mid 80s will be fairly common. For that to occur, the warm front will need to slide thru quickly and advance well north of I-69 (north of M-46, let's say).
I just think there will be residual clouds from early morning activity and a number of convergence boundaries that could spark precip. I'm skeptical the front will haul ass far enough north to nullify those boundaries.
Morgan Wallen is a piece of garbage.
Re: Just remember...
Agreed, what’s your over/under on some severe weather at some point between tomorrow and Thursday? Friday looks like showers and cooler so I assume a front goes through on Thursday.MWmetalhead wrote: ↑Sat May 23, 2020 8:59 pmWeather Channel also is saying mid 80s tomorrow.
I don't see it.
Areas downstream from where our air will be coming were only around 80 to low 80s. They don't have lake breezes with which to deal. Or super moist ground.
I feel good with my call of upper 70s. Could a couple spots crack 80? Sure.
Now, if a mid level cap forms, precip is limited/ brief, and decent sun occurs, my forecast won't hold up and low to even mid 80s will be fairly common. For that to occur, the warm front will need to slide thru quickly and advance well north of I-69 (north of M-46, let's say).
I just think there will be residual clouds from early morning activity and a number of convergence boundaries that could spark precip. I'm skeptical the front will haul ass far enough north to nullify those boundaries.
- MWmetalhead
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Re: Just remember...
With the jet stream riding far north, the odds of SVR are low. A few of the pop up storms in the heat of the day could produce isolated, mostly low end SVR. That occurence is most likely mid week. Organized SVR activity is very unlikely through Tuesday. Not ready to make that declaration for Wednesday or Thursday yet.
The few supercells that spawned in Chicago and NW Indiana last evening were triggered by a disturbance riding along the warm front plus daytime heating.
The few supercells that spawned in Chicago and NW Indiana last evening were triggered by a disturbance riding along the warm front plus daytime heating.
Morgan Wallen is a piece of garbage.
- MWmetalhead
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Re: Just remember...
The warm front blew through most of Metro Detroit pretty quickly this morning, there wasn't much precip, and skies have cleared pretty nicely.
I am going to increase my Metro Detroit high temp forecast to 83.
Mr. Humphrey got one right for a change.
I am going to increase my Metro Detroit high temp forecast to 83.
Mr. Humphrey got one right for a change.
Morgan Wallen is a piece of garbage.
Re: Just remember...
NWS now looking for 86 for Metro... I’m probably gonna pop open the sunroof I think when I drive later...MWmetalhead wrote: ↑Sun May 24, 2020 10:11 amThe warm front blew through most of Metro Detroit pretty quickly this morning, there wasn't much precip, and skies have cleared pretty nicely.
I am going to increase my Metro Detroit high temp forecast to 83.
Mr. Humphrey got one right for a change.