2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread

[Rate This]

Susquehana polling any good?

Harris up by 4 in PA.

https://www.yahoo.com/news/harris-takes ... 53632.html

Yes it’s one of the colleges so that’s a reputable pollster.

[Matt]

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4 ... -poll/amp/

[Honeyman]

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4 ... -poll/amp/

Tuesday’s poll showed Harris opening up an 11-point lead on Trump in Michigan...

[bmw]

All the more reason Shapiro is the correct VP pick. Because if Trump takes NC, GA, and PA, it's over, even if Harris runs the table in MI, WI, NV, and AZ.

[Rate This]

All the more reason Shapiro is the correct VP pick. Because if Trump takes NC, GA, and PA, it's over, even if Harris runs the table in MI, WI, NV, and AZ.

Luckily she’s pulled even in Georgia. If she picks Shapiro it may easily be game over. That Vance pick looks worse and worse with each passing day. He’s become a boat anchor.

[Matt]

All the more reason Shapiro is the correct VP pick. Because if Trump takes NC, GA, and PA, it's over, even if Harris runs the table in MI, WI, NV, and AZ.

If Harris wins Michigan by 11, it's going to be a landslide nationally.

[Honeyman]

All the more reason Shapiro is the correct VP pick. Because if Trump takes NC, GA, and PA, it's over, even if Harris runs the table in MI, WI, NV, and AZ.

Luckily she’s pulled even in Georgia. If she picks Shapiro it may easily be game over. That Vance pick looks worse and worse with each passing day. He’s become a boat anchor.

Impossible. bmw has stated Georgia absolutely will be red.

[Rate This]

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4 ... -poll/amp/

Tuesday’s poll showed Harris opening up an 11-point lead on Trump in Michigan...

RCP was holding that for tomorrow but not here... That's big news.

July 30

Bloomberg / Morning Consult
Michigan General Election:
Harris 53
Trump 42

Harris 51
Trump 39
Kennedy 5
Stein 1

Arizona General Election:
Harris 49
Trump 47

Harris 48
Trump 44
Kennedy 5
West 0

Georgia General Election:
Trump 47
Harris 47

Trump 45
Harris 45
Kennedy 4
West 0

Nevada General Election:
Harris 47
Trump 45

Trump 43
Harris 43
Kennedy 7
Stein 1

North Carolina General Election:
Trump 48
Harris 46

Trump 45
Harris 44
Kennedy 5
Stein 0

Wisconsin General Election:
Harris 49
Trump 47

Trump 45
Harris 44
Kennedy 6
Stein 0

Pennsylvania General Election:
Trump 50
Harris 46

Trump 46
Harris 44
Kennedy 5
Stein 0

Susquehanna
Pennsylvania General Election:
Harris 47
Trump 43
Kennedy 3
Stein 0
Democrat leads the senate race by 5.

WHDH-TV Boston / Emerson
New Hampshire General Election:
Harris 50
Trump 46

Harris 48
Trump 41
Kennedy 6
Stein 1
West 0

University of North Florida
Florida General Election:
Trump 49
Harris 42

Morning Consult
General Election:
Harris 47
Trump 46

Reuters / Ipsos
General Election:
Harris 43
Trump 42

Harvard-Harris
General Election:
Trump 52
Harris 48

Trump 47
Harris 43
Kennedy 8
Stein 1
West 1

Generic Congressional Ballot:
Republicans 52
Democrats 48

[MotorCityRadioFreak]

Assume nothing. Work as if you are down 10. I am trying to get hired on by the campaign as we speak for some side work. Wish me luck.

[FakeAndyStuart]

As I heard someone say on TDSMSNBC - Polls are informative this early but NOT predictive. You can brag all you want about polls being accurate in 2022, but how accurate in predicting the results were the July 2022 polls. I'll hang up and listen to your response.

[Rate This]

As I heard someone say on TDSMSNBC - Polls are informative this early but NOT predictive. You can brag all you want about polls being accurate in 2022, but how accurate in predicting the results were the July 2022 polls. I'll hang up and listen to your response.

Ok listen to this… who here said they thought it’s signed sealed and delivered?

[Honeyman]

As I heard someone say on TDSMSNBC - Polls are informative this early but NOT predictive. You can brag all you want about polls being accurate in 2022, but how accurate in predicting the results were the July 2022 polls. I'll hang up and listen to your response.

Ok listen to this… who here said they thought it’s signed sealed and delivered?

I think the trends are somewhat telling. There clearly is an enthusiasm with the Democrats since Biden dropped out. How much of this is short-lived, we shall see. I still think the electoral map is in favor of the GOP. But at least now I'm optimistic. 2 weeks ago, I was apocalyptic.

[Rate This]

As I heard someone say on TDSMSNBC - Polls are informative this early but NOT predictive. You can brag all you want about polls being accurate in 2022, but how accurate in predicting the results were the July 2022 polls. I'll hang up and listen to your response.

Ok listen to this… who here said they thought it’s signed sealed and delivered?

I think the trends are somewhat telling. There clearly is an enthusiasm with the Democrats since Biden dropped out. How much of this is short-lived, we shall see. I still think the electoral map is in favor of the GOP. But at least now I'm optimistic. 2 weeks ago, I was apocalyptic.

This is true. The trend line is rather sharply in the right direction. It should be a hell of an election night in November.

[Matt]

Currently, predictit is showing a 51/51 tie (no idea how that works).

[Rate This]

Currently, predictit is showing a 51/51 tie (no idea how that works).

Now a 51-49 Harris lead.

July 31

Economist / YouGov
General Election:
Harris 46
Trump 44
Kennedy 3
Stein 0
West 0

Generic Congressional Ballot:
Democrats 46
Republicans 44

Hoffman Research
Oregon General Election:
Harris 49
Trump 44

Harris 45
Trump 40
Kennedy 7
Stein 1

PPP
Arizona General Election:
Trump 49
Harris 47

Georgia General Election:
Harris 48
Trump 47

Pennsylvania General Election:
Trump 48
Harris 47