2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread

[TC Talks]

Jesus, I'm giddy thinking about how $100,000,000 could give her a boost. Trump's lead is wiped out in 4 days.

Considering they were already outspending Trump by 80:1 in some cases (and getting nowhere), I'm not sure it's going to make that much of a difference.

Harris is just getting started. I'm not worried how Biden did against Trump

[MotorCityRadioFreak]

Jesus, I'm giddy thinking about how $100,000,000 could give her a boost. Trump's lead is wiped out in 4 days.

Considering they were already outspending Trump by 80:1 in some cases (and getting nowhere), I'm not sure it's going to make that much of a difference.

80-1? Do you have a link to back that up?

That said, the Democrats have no reason to be over-confident. I understand the excitement and think it's very positive that they have all seemed to come together, but the electoral map is not in their favor. Long way to go to hang on tho the White House.

The fact that Virginia and NH are in play is very bad. I would especially worry about the latter with a POC at the top of the ticket.

[Rate This]

Jesus, I'm giddy thinking about how $100,000,000 could give her a boost. Trump's lead is wiped out in 4 days.

Considering they were already outspending Trump by 80:1 in some cases (and getting nowhere), I'm not sure it's going to make that much of a difference.

80-1? Do you have a link to back that up?

That said, the Democrats have no reason to be over-confident. I understand the excitement and think it's very positive that they have all seemed to come together, but the electoral map is not in their favor. Long way to go to hang on tho the White House.

The fact that Virginia and NH are in play is very bad. I would especially worry about the later with a POC at the top of the ticket.

It is a Democratic leaning state… things should look up from here as the people double haters move around and the Democratic base becomes energized and also doesn’t pull a 2016 and think it’s a lock. Lots of reasons to believe this is different somehow.

[MotorCityRadioFreak]

Virginia-yes, a thousands times, yes. But NH, the jury is still out.

[Rate This]

Virginia-yes, a thousands times, yes. But NH, the jury is still out.

New Hampshire is rather white but it is not really all that conservative redneck white. I’m not convinced they’ll have much issue with her. Obama won it twice comfortably.

[Rate This]

American Greatness / NSOR
Pennsylvania General Election:
Trump 47
Harris 45
(Democrat leads Senate race 49-41)

CNN
General Election:
Trump 49
Harris 46

Economist / YouGov
General Election:
Trump 44
Harris 41
Kennedy 5
Stein 1
West 1

Generic Congressional Ballot:
Democrats 46
Republicans 44

[Circle Seven]

The polls are mostly ties or slim Harris leads so far today. More later but it absolutely matches both the betters tightening and the panic from Trump.

You say she's ahead. Late night says she's ahead. MSNBC says she's ahead. Every wishful thinker says she's aHead.

While I agree with those here who say it's too early to take polls seriously, where are the polls that show Harris ahead? You haven't posted one yet. You just posted one that, to me, looks to me she's getting further Behind.

[MotorCityRadioFreak]

American Greatness is in the tank for Trump. YouGov’s poll does internet only polling(people can register an online account to vote). Neither should be valued as anything substantial.

[Circle Seven]

American Greatness is in the tank for Trump. YouGov’s poll does internet only polling(people can register an online account to vote). Neither should be valued as anything substantial.

Agree. And it's not the only poll Rate likes to cite that could really be anyone. From a kid in a bathtub on his tablet to a Nigerian drinking his morning tea.

[audiophile]

The polls are mostly ties or slim Harris leads so far today. More later but it absolutely matches both the betters tightening and the panic from Trump.

You say she's ahead. Late night says she's ahead. MSNBC says she's ahead. Every wishful thinker says she's aHead.

While I agree with those here who say it's too early to take polls seriously, where are the polls that show Harris ahead? You haven't posted one yet. You just posted one that, to me, looks to me she's getting further Behind.

Freidan slip?

[Rate This]

The polls are mostly ties or slim Harris leads so far today. More later but it absolutely matches both the betters tightening and the panic from Trump.

You say she's ahead. Late night says she's ahead. MSNBC says she's ahead. Every wishful thinker says she's aHead.

While I agree with those here who say it's too early to take polls seriously, where are the polls that show Harris ahead? You haven't posted one yet. You just posted one that, to me, looks to me she's getting further Behind.

July 23rd. It’s on the previous page. There are some ties and Reuters put her ahead.

I don’t “like to cite” anything. I’m at the mercy of whatever appears on the lists I use.

[Honeyman]

Young voters like Kamala

https://www.axios.com/2024/07/25/poll-h ... ung-voters

[Circle Seven]

The polls are mostly ties or slim Harris leads so far today. More later but it absolutely matches both the betters tightening and the panic from Trump.

You say she's ahead. Late night says she's ahead. MSNBC says she's ahead. Every wishful thinker says she's aHead.

While I agree with those here who say it's too early to take polls seriously, where are the polls that show Harris ahead? You haven't posted one yet. You just posted one that, to me, looks to me she's getting further Behind.

Freidan slip?

Like the last line of my post?

[Rate This]

Virginia-yes, a thousands times, yes. But NH, the jury is still out.

Maybe this batch of polling will gladden your heart a tad.

July 25

UNH
New Hampshire General Election:
Harris 53
Trump 46

Harris 49
Trump 43
Kennedy 4
West 0
Stein 0

Maine General Election:
Harris 54
Trump 45

Harris 48
Trump 40
Kennedy 4
West 1
Stein 1

The Hill / Emerson
Michigan General Election:
Trump 46
Harris 45

Trump 44
Harris 44
Kennedy 5
West 1
Stein 1

Michigan Senate General Election:
Slotkin 45
Rogers 41

Arizona General Election:
Trump 49
Harris 44

Trump 48
Harris 40
Kennedy 5
West 1
Stein 1

The Democrat leads the Senate race by 4

Georgia General Election:
Trump 48
Harris 46

Trump 46
Harris 43
Kennedy 4
West 1
Stein 1

Pennsylvania General Election:
Trump 48
Harris 46

Trump 46
Harris 44
Kennedy 3
West 1
Stein 1

The Democrat leads the Senate race by 4.

Wisconsin General Election:
Trump 47
Harris 47

Trump 45
Harris 45
Kennedy 3
Stein 1
West 0

The Democrat leads the Senate race by 6.

New York Times / Siena
General Election:
Trump 48
Harris 47

Harris 44
Trump 43
Kennedy 5
Stein 1
West 0

Morning Consult
General Election:
Harris 46
Trump 45

Rasmussen Reports
General Election:
Trump 50
Harris 43

Trump 49
Harris 42
Kennedy 4
Stein 1
West 0

[Matt]

The presidential race between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is essentially tied, according to a new Wall Street Journal poll that shows heightened support for her among nonwhite voters and dramatically increased enthusiasm about the campaign among Democrats.

The former president leads the current vice president 49% to 47% in a two-person matchup, but that is within the margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 percentage points. Trump held a six-point lead earlier this month over President Biden before he exited the race and backed Harris.

On a ballot test that included Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and other independent and third-party candidates, Harris receives 45% and Trump gets 44%. Kennedy is backed by just 4% and 5% remain undecided. Biden trailed in the multicandidate contest by six points in the last poll.

BMW's betting site is currently 55-47 in favor of the felon. Most of us hope Harris is 47.