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MotorCityRadioFreak
- Posts: 7061
- Joined: Wed Jul 29, 2020 6:26 am
- Location: Warren, MI
Post
by MotorCityRadioFreak » Thu Aug 01, 2024 2:13 am
Rate This wrote: ↑Thu Aug 01, 2024 2:09 am
Matt wrote: ↑Wed Jul 31, 2024 4:10 pm
Currently, predictit is showing a 51/51 tie (no idea how that works).
Now a 51-49 Harris lead.
July 31
Economist / YouGov
General Election:
Harris 46
Trump 44
Kennedy 3
Stein 0
West 0
Generic Congressional Ballot:
Democrats 46
Republicans 44
Hoffman Research
Oregon General Election:
Harris 49
Trump 44
Harris 45
Trump 40
Kennedy 7
Stein 1
PPP
Arizona General Election:
Trump 49
Harris 47
Georgia General Election:
Harris 48
Trump 47
Pennsylvania General Election:
Trump 48
Harris 47
No chance in hell Oregon is that close. Biden won by 11 I believe. I could see 8 at worst. More like anywhere from 9-11.
Edit: Biden won by 16 in Oregon!
They/them, non-binary and proud.
Remember that “2000 Mules” was concocted by a circus of elephants.
The right needs to stop worry about what’s between people’s legs. Instead, they should focus on what’s between their ears.
Audacity sucks.
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Rate This
- Posts: 15845
- Joined: Wed Jan 08, 2020 12:17 am
Post
by Rate This » Thu Aug 01, 2024 3:14 am
MotorCityRadioFreak wrote: ↑Thu Aug 01, 2024 2:13 am
Rate This wrote: ↑Thu Aug 01, 2024 2:09 am
Matt wrote: ↑Wed Jul 31, 2024 4:10 pm
Currently, predictit is showing a 51/51 tie (no idea how that works).
Now a 51-49 Harris lead.
July 31
Economist / YouGov
General Election:
Harris 46
Trump 44
Kennedy 3
Stein 0
West 0
Generic Congressional Ballot:
Democrats 46
Republicans 44
Hoffman Research
Oregon General Election:
Harris 49
Trump 44
Harris 45
Trump 40
Kennedy 7
Stein 1
PPP
Arizona General Election:
Trump 49
Harris 47
Georgia General Election:
Harris 48
Trump 47
Pennsylvania General Election:
Trump 48
Harris 47
No chance in hell Oregon is that close. Biden won by 11 I believe. I could see 8 at worst. More like anywhere from 9-11.
Edit: Biden won by 16 in Oregon!
It’s a Republican pollster. The kind that does work on behalf of candidates and may tell them what they want to hear.
Donald Trump… In your guts you know he’s nuts.
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Rate This
- Posts: 15845
- Joined: Wed Jan 08, 2020 12:17 am
Post
by Rate This » Fri Aug 02, 2024 12:20 am
August 1
Daily Kos / Civiqs
General Election:
Harris 49
Trump 45
Rasmussen Reports
General Election:
Trump 49
Harris 44
Trump 46
Harris 45
Kennedy 5
Stein 1
West 1
Fabrizio / Anzalone
Ohio General Election:
Trump 52
Harris 42
Trump 48
Harris 39
Kennedy 9
Stein 1
Democrat leads the senate race by 4.
Donald Trump… In your guts you know he’s nuts.
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Rate This
- Posts: 15845
- Joined: Wed Jan 08, 2020 12:17 am
Post
by Rate This » Fri Aug 02, 2024 10:47 pm
August 2
Trafalgar / Insider Advantage
Georgia General Election:
Trump 49
Harris 47
Donald Trump… In your guts you know he’s nuts.
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Honeyman
- Posts: 6708
- Joined: Wed Dec 15, 2010 4:44 pm
Post
by Honeyman » Sun Aug 04, 2024 7:20 pm
https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silve ... -146002606
After another day of strong polling, Kamala Harris has pulled ahead of Donald Trump for the first time since the forecast launched. Although the race is still a toss-up, Harris leads Trump by 1.4 points in our national polling average, and has a 51 percent chance of winning the electoral college.
The censorship king from out of state.
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Matt
- Posts: 11034
- Joined: Mon Dec 06, 2004 12:18 pm
- Location: Home of the National Champions
Post
by Matt » Sun Aug 04, 2024 7:47 pm
Honeyman wrote: ↑Sun Aug 04, 2024 7:20 pm
https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silve ... -146002606
After another day of strong polling, Kamala Harris has pulled ahead of Donald Trump for the first time since the forecast launched. Although the race is still a toss-up, Harris leads Trump by 1.4 points in our national polling average, and has a 51 percent chance of winning the electoral college.
I think Silver had Trump at 76% to win when he was facing Biden.
This is a pro-Harris/Walz account
"I have to admit - Matt is right." ~bmw
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Rate This
- Posts: 15845
- Joined: Wed Jan 08, 2020 12:17 am
Post
by Rate This » Sun Aug 04, 2024 9:44 pm
August 4
CBS News
General Election:
Harris 50
Trump 49
Harris 49
Trump 47
Kennedy 2
West 0
Stein 0
Donald Trump… In your guts you know he’s nuts.
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Rate This
- Posts: 15845
- Joined: Wed Jan 08, 2020 12:17 am
Post
by Rate This » Mon Aug 05, 2024 11:41 pm
August 5
Morning Consult
General Election:
Harris 48
Trump 44
Survey USA
General Election:
Harris 48
Trump 45
I&I / TIPP
General Election:
Harris 46
Trump 45
Harris 44
Trump 42
Kennedy 7
Stein 1
West 1
Donald Trump… In your guts you know he’s nuts.
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Rate This
- Posts: 15845
- Joined: Wed Jan 08, 2020 12:17 am
Post
by Rate This » Tue Aug 06, 2024 11:33 pm
August 6
Siena
New York General Election:
Harris 53
Trump 39
Harris 49
Trump 37
Kennedy 7
Stein 2
West 1
*Democrat leads Senate race by 23*
NPR / PBS / Marist
General Election:
Harris 51
Trump 48
Harris 48
Trump 45
Kennedy 5
Stein 1
West 0
Generic Congressional Ballot:
Democrats 47
Republicans 45
Donald Trump… In your guts you know he’s nuts.
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Honeyman
- Posts: 6708
- Joined: Wed Dec 15, 2010 4:44 pm
Post
by Honeyman » Wed Aug 07, 2024 3:51 pm
Predictit has:
Kamala 56c
Trump. 46c
The censorship king from out of state.
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Rate This
- Posts: 15845
- Joined: Wed Jan 08, 2020 12:17 am
Post
by Rate This » Thu Aug 08, 2024 12:19 am
Honeyman wrote: ↑Wed Aug 07, 2024 3:51 pm
Predictit has:
Kamala 56c
Trump. 46c
That's quite a turn of events there.
Donald Trump… In your guts you know he’s nuts.
