2022 Midterm Polling Thread

[Rate This]

October 23

Detroit News / WDIV-TV
Michigan 7th Congressional District:
Elissa Slotkin (D) 47
Tom Barrett (R) 41

Data For Progress
Oregon Governor:
Christine Drazan (R) 43
Tina Kotek (D) 42
Betsy Johnson (I) 12

Oregon Senate:
Ron Wyden (D) 51
Jo Rae Perkins (R) 40

Georgia Senate:
Raphael Warnock (D) 48
Herschel Walker (R) 47

Georgia Governor:
Brian Kemp (R) 53
Stacey Abrams (D) 43

Ohio Senate:
J.D. Vance (R) 49
Tim Ryan (D) 46

Ohio Governor:
Mike DeWine (R) 57
Nan Whaley (D) 38

Cygnal
Ohio Senate:
J.D. Vance (R) 47
Tim Ryan (D) 43

Ohio Governor:
Mike DeWine (R) 55
Nan Whaley (D) 37

American Greatness / Insider Advantage
Nevada Senate:
Adam Laxalt (R) 48
Catherine Cortez Masto (D) 46

Nevada Governor:
Joe Lombardo (R) 49
Steve Sisolak (D) 43

NBC News
Generic Congressional Ballot:
Republicans 48
Democrats 47

[Rate This]

October 24

Today finds a lot of polls showing the Democrats putting up a fight. I still don't see evidence of the mythical red wave predicted by some on here.

Michigan News Source / Trafalgar
Michigan Governor:
Tudor Dixon (R) 48
Gretchen Whitmer (D) 48

Cygnal
Michigan Governor:
Gretchen Whitmer (D) 50
Tudor Dixon (R) 44

CNN
Michigan Governor:
Gretchen Whitmer (D) 52
Tudor Dixon (R) 46

Wisconsin Senate:
Ron Johnson (R) 50
Mandela Barnes (D) 49

Wisconsin Governor:
Tony Evers (D) 50
Tim Michels (R) 48

Pennsylvania Senate:
John Fetterman (D) 51
Mehmet Oz (R) 46

Pennsylvania Governor:
Josh Shapiro (D) 56
Doug Mastriano (R) 41

American Greatness / Insider Advantage
New Hampshire Senate:
Maggie Hassan (R) 48
Don Bolduc (D) 47

Rasmussen Reports
Pennsylvania Senate:
John Fetterman (D) 45
Mehmet Oz (R) 43

Pennsylvania Governor:
Josh Shapiro (D) 43
Doug Mastriano (R) 40

Marist
Ohio Senate:
J.D. Vance (R) 47
Tim Ryan (D) 47

Ohio Governor:
Mike DeWine (R) 54
Nan Whaley (D) 41

Spectrum News / Siena
Ohio Senate:
J.D. Vance (R) 46
Tim Ryan (D) 46

Ohio Governor:
Mike DeWine 58
Nan Whaley (D) 34

Texas Governor:
Greg Abbott (R) 52
Beto O'Rourke (D) 43

Federalist / Susquehanna
Arizona Senate:
Mark Kelly (D) 48
Blake Masters (R) 45

Arizona Governor:
Katie Hobbs (D) 48
Kari Lake (R) 47

The Hill / Emerson
Texas Governor:
Greg Abbott (R) 53
Beto O'Rourke (D) 44

Texas 2024:
Trump 47
Biden 40

Quinnipiac
Connecticut Senate:
Richard Blumenthal (D) 56
Leora Levy (R) 41

Connecticut Governor:
Ned Lamont (D) 56
Bob Stefanowski (R) 41

[MotorCityRadioFreak]

October 24

Today finds a lot of polls showing the Democrats putting up a fight. I still don't see evidence of the mythical red wave predicted by some on here.

Michigan News Source / Trafalgar
Michigan Governor:
Tudor Dixon (R) 48
Gretchen Whitmer (D) 48

Cygnal
Michigan Governor:
Gretchen Whitmer (D) 50
Tudor Dixon (R) 44

CNN
Michigan Governor:
Gretchen Whitmer (D) 52
Tudor Dixon (R) 46

Wisconsin Senate:
Ron Johnson (R) 50
Mandela Barnes (D) 49

Wisconsin Governor:
Tony Evers (D) 50
Tim Michels (R) 48

Pennsylvania Senate:
John Fetterman (D) 51
Mehmet Oz (R) 46

Pennsylvania Governor:
Josh Shapiro (D) 56
Doug Mastriano (R) 41

American Greatness / Insider Advantage
New Hampshire Senate:
Maggie Hassan (R) 48
Don Bolduc (D) 47

Rasmussen Reports
Pennsylvania Senate:
John Fetterman (D) 45
Mehmet Oz (R) 43

Pennsylvania Governor:
Josh Shapiro (D) 43
Doug Mastriano (R) 40

Marist
Ohio Senate:
J.D. Vance (R) 47
Tim Ryan (D) 47

Ohio Governor:
Mike DeWine (R) 54
Nan Whaley (D) 41

Spectrum News / Siena
Ohio Senate:
J.D. Vance (R) 46
Tim Ryan (D) 46

Ohio Governor:
Mike DeWine 58
Nan Whaley (D) 34

Texas Governor:
Greg Abbott (R) 52
Beto O'Rourke (D) 43

Federalist / Susquehanna
Arizona Senate:
Mark Kelly (D) 48
Blake Masters (R) 45

Arizona Governor:
Katie Hobbs (D) 48
Kari Lake (R) 47

The Hill / Emerson
Texas Governor:
Greg Abbott (R) 53
Beto O'Rourke (D) 44

Texas 2024:
Trump 47
Biden 40

Quinnipiac
Connecticut Senate:
Richard Blumenthal (D) 56
Leora Levy (R) 41

Connecticut Governor:
Ned Lamont (D) 56
Bob Stefanowski (R) 41

That’s the closest I had seen Bolduc get to Hassan. And “American Greatness” is hardly a left wing type polling group.

[Rate This]

October 24

Today finds a lot of polls showing the Democrats putting up a fight. I still don't see evidence of the mythical red wave predicted by some on here.

Michigan News Source / Trafalgar
Michigan Governor:
Tudor Dixon (R) 48
Gretchen Whitmer (D) 48

Cygnal
Michigan Governor:
Gretchen Whitmer (D) 50
Tudor Dixon (R) 44

CNN
Michigan Governor:
Gretchen Whitmer (D) 52
Tudor Dixon (R) 46

Wisconsin Senate:
Ron Johnson (R) 50
Mandela Barnes (D) 49

Wisconsin Governor:
Tony Evers (D) 50
Tim Michels (R) 48

Pennsylvania Senate:
John Fetterman (D) 51
Mehmet Oz (R) 46

Pennsylvania Governor:
Josh Shapiro (D) 56
Doug Mastriano (R) 41

American Greatness / Insider Advantage
New Hampshire Senate:
Maggie Hassan (R) 48
Don Bolduc (D) 47

Rasmussen Reports
Pennsylvania Senate:
John Fetterman (D) 45
Mehmet Oz (R) 43

Pennsylvania Governor:
Josh Shapiro (D) 43
Doug Mastriano (R) 40

Marist
Ohio Senate:
J.D. Vance (R) 47
Tim Ryan (D) 47

Ohio Governor:
Mike DeWine (R) 54
Nan Whaley (D) 41

Spectrum News / Siena
Ohio Senate:
J.D. Vance (R) 46
Tim Ryan (D) 46

Ohio Governor:
Mike DeWine 58
Nan Whaley (D) 34

Texas Governor:
Greg Abbott (R) 52
Beto O'Rourke (D) 43

Federalist / Susquehanna
Arizona Senate:
Mark Kelly (D) 48
Blake Masters (R) 45

Arizona Governor:
Katie Hobbs (D) 48
Kari Lake (R) 47

The Hill / Emerson
Texas Governor:
Greg Abbott (R) 53
Beto O'Rourke (D) 44

Texas 2024:
Trump 47
Biden 40

Quinnipiac
Connecticut Senate:
Richard Blumenthal (D) 56
Leora Levy (R) 41

Connecticut Governor:
Ned Lamont (D) 56
Bob Stefanowski (R) 41

That’s the closest I had seen Bolduc get to Hassan. And “American Greatness” is hardly a left wing type polling group.

American Greatness has close ties to Trump if I’m not mistaken. I wouldn’t but that for a dollar.

[Bryce]

Looks like the Michigan Gubernatorial race has become a dead heat. At least according to polling by the Trafalgar group.

Whitmere 48.4
Dixon 47.9

Just a month ago Whitmere seemed to hold an insurmountable lead.
I think there is a big difference in polling numbers when you poll registered voters vs. likely voters.

https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/wp-co ... t-1023.pdf

[Rate This]

Looks like the Michigan Gubernatorial race has become a dead heat. At least according to polling by the Trafalgar group.

Whitmere 48.4
Dixon 47.9

Just a month ago Whitmere seemed to hold an insurmountable lead.
I think there is a big difference in polling numbers when you poll registered voters vs. likely voters.

https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/wp-co ... t-1023.pdf

Trafalgar is not a reliable polling house. It skews heavily Republican. That makes it extremely Ill suited to this year. Everybody else has it closer to Whitmer by 6.

This is all about turning out the base. For example the latest out of Oakland county (7th district) put Slotkin up by 7… the most important issue? Abortion at 31% followed by Inflation at 23%. Guess what? There are a lot of districts where this will be repeated. This is why it’s been much closer than one would expect. No red wave in sight.

Let all keep in mind too that more democrats, by 2 to 1, intend to vote absentee. They will be counted last. This means that there may be a red mirage. So it may look like Republicans are crushing it at first until those heavily Democratic ballots are added in. Then it’ll become an uphill climb for them to hold all those leads.

[MotorCityRadioFreak]

We’re going to hear the GOP complain about massive absentee voting dumps again. And once again, they will make it as their excuse to restrict POC from voting.

[Rate This]

We’re going to hear the GOP complain about massive absentee voting dumps again. And once again, they will make it as their excuse to restrict POC from voting.

You may not have to worry about that last part. If they want to vote they will find a way. First day of early voting in person in Georgia saw nearly the same number of voters as 2020 before they put the restrictions in place. There were several examples of hour long lines in Atlanta last week. They’ll vote come hell or high water.

[Rate This]

October 25

Daily Wire / Trafalgar
Georgia Senate:
Herschel Walker (R) 49
Raphael Warnock (D) 47

Georgia Governor:
Brian Kemp (R) 52
Stacey Abrams (D) 45

East Carolina University
Georgia Senate:
Raphael Warnock (D) 49
Herschel Walker (R) 47

Georgia Governor:
Brian Kemp (R) 51
Stacey Abrams (D) 44

CBS News / YouGov
Pennsylvania Senate:
John Fetterman (D) 51
Mehmet Oz (R) 49

WHDH-TV Boston, MA / Emerson
New Hampshire Senate:
Maggie Hassan (D) 48
Don Bolduc (R) 45

New Hampshire Governor:
John Sununu (R) 52
Tom Sherman (D) 40

New Hampshire 2024:
Biden 44
Trump 43

Trafalgar Group
New Mexico Governor:
Mark Ronchetti (R) 47
Michelle Lujan-Grisham (D) 46

Civitas / Cygnal
North Carolina Senate:
Ted Budd (R) 47
Cheri Beasley (D) 43

Cygnal
Ohio Senate (Tracking Poll):
J.D. Vance (R) 48
Tim Ryan (D) 44

Ohio Governor (Tracking Poll):
Mike DeWine (R) 55
Nan Whaley (D) 37

[MotorCityRadioFreak]

October 25

Daily Wire / Trafalgar
Georgia Senate:
Herschel Walker (R) 49
Raphael Warnock (D) 47

Georgia Governor:
Brian Kemp (R) 52
Stacey Abrams (D) 45

East Carolina University
Georgia Senate:
Raphael Warnock (D) 49
Herschel Walker (R) 47

Georgia Governor:
Brian Kemp (R) 51
Stacey Abrams (D) 44

CBS News / YouGov
Pennsylvania Senate:
John Fetterman (D) 51
Mehmet Oz (R) 49

WHDH-TV Boston, MA / Emerson
New Hampshire Senate:
Maggie Hassan (D) 48
Don Bolduc (R) 45

New Hampshire Governor:
John Sununu (R) 52
Tom Sherman (D) 40

New Hampshire 2024:
Biden 44
Trump 43

Trafalgar Group
New Mexico Governor:
Mark Ronchetti (R) 47
Michelle Lujan-Grisham (D) 46

Civitas / Cygnal
North Carolina Senate:
Ted Budd (R) 47
Cheri Beasley (D) 43

Cygnal
Ohio Senate:
J.D. Vance (R) 48
Tim Ryan (D) 44

Ohio Governor:
Mike DeWine (R) 55
Nan Whaley (D) 37

Okay, so Hassan is a Democrat. I knew something was off about that poll yesterday.

Also, I don’t think Republicans have led the governorship since 1994 in New Mexico, so call me skeptical on that poll.

[Matt]

October 25

Daily Wire / Trafalgar
Georgia Senate:
Herschel Walker (R) 49
Raphael Warnock (D) 47

Georgia Governor:
Brian Kemp (R) 52
Stacey Abrams (D) 45

East Carolina University
Georgia Senate:
Raphael Warnock (D) 49
Herschel Walker (R) 47

Georgia Governor:
Brian Kemp (R) 51
Stacey Abrams (D) 44

CBS News / YouGov
Pennsylvania Senate:
John Fetterman (D) 51
Mehmet Oz (R) 49

WHDH-TV Boston, MA / Emerson
New Hampshire Senate:
Maggie Hassan (D) 48
Don Bolduc (R) 45

New Hampshire Governor:
John Sununu (R) 52
Tom Sherman (D) 40

New Hampshire 2024:
Biden 44
Trump 43

Trafalgar Group
New Mexico Governor:
Mark Ronchetti (R) 47
Michelle Lujan-Grisham (D) 46

Civitas / Cygnal
North Carolina Senate:
Ted Budd (R) 47
Cheri Beasley (D) 43

Cygnal
Ohio Senate:
J.D. Vance (R) 48
Tim Ryan (D) 44

Ohio Governor:
Mike DeWine (R) 55
Nan Whaley (D) 37

Okay, so Hassan is a Democrat. I knew something was off about that poll yesterday.

Also, I don’t think Republicans have led the governorship since 1994 in New Mexico, so call me skeptical on that poll.

Susana Martinez says hi.

[Rate This]

October 25

Daily Wire / Trafalgar
Georgia Senate:
Herschel Walker (R) 49
Raphael Warnock (D) 47

Georgia Governor:
Brian Kemp (R) 52
Stacey Abrams (D) 45

East Carolina University
Georgia Senate:
Raphael Warnock (D) 49
Herschel Walker (R) 47

Georgia Governor:
Brian Kemp (R) 51
Stacey Abrams (D) 44

CBS News / YouGov
Pennsylvania Senate:
John Fetterman (D) 51
Mehmet Oz (R) 49

WHDH-TV Boston, MA / Emerson
New Hampshire Senate:
Maggie Hassan (D) 48
Don Bolduc (R) 45

New Hampshire Governor:
John Sununu (R) 52
Tom Sherman (D) 40

New Hampshire 2024:
Biden 44
Trump 43

Trafalgar Group
New Mexico Governor:
Mark Ronchetti (R) 47
Michelle Lujan-Grisham (D) 46

Civitas / Cygnal
North Carolina Senate:
Ted Budd (R) 47
Cheri Beasley (D) 43

Cygnal
Ohio Senate:
J.D. Vance (R) 48
Tim Ryan (D) 44

Ohio Governor:
Mike DeWine (R) 55
Nan Whaley (D) 37

Okay, so Hassan is a Democrat. I knew something was off about that poll yesterday.

Also, I don’t think Republicans have led the governorship since 1994 in New Mexico, so call me skeptical on that poll.

New Mexico has a history of alternating parties frequently for Governor. It’s a blue state at the national level.

[MotorCityRadioFreak]

I am interested in any polls for Dana Nessel. She won with 49.0 to Mr Leonard’s 46.3%. Gretchen and Jocelyn won by 9-10%. That’s a big disparity.

[Rate This]

I am interested in any polls for Dana Nessel. She won with 49.0 to Mr Leonard’s 46.3%. Gretchen and Jocelyn won by 9-10%. That’s a big disparity.

I will be on the lookout. WDIV and the Detroit News have been trying to gauge this the most consistently. Their last one had her up 12 on October 6.

October 26

Cygnal
Michigan Governor (Tracking Poll):
Gretchen Whitmer (D) 51
Tudor Dixon (R) 45

FOX 10 Phoenix / Insider Advantage
Arizona Senate:
Mark Kelly (D) 45
Blake Masters (R) 43

Arizona Governor:
Kari Lake (R) 54
Katie Hobbs (D) 43

Data For Progress
Arizona Senate:
Mark Kelly (D) 47
Blake Masters (R) 47

Arizona Governor:
Kari Lake (R) 50
Katie Hobbs (D) 46

Florida Senate:
Marco Rubio (R) 51
Val Demings (D) 44

Florida Governor:
Ron DeSantis (R) 54
Charlie Crist (D) 42

Wisconsin Senate:
Ron Johnson (R) 51
Mandela Barnes (D) 46

Wisconsin Governor:
Tim Michels (R) 49
Tony Evers (D) 48

Nevada Senate:
Adam Laxalt (R) 49
Catherine Cortez Masto (D) 48

Nevada Governor:
Joe Lombardo (R) 48
Steve Sisolak (D) 47

University of North Florida
Florida Senate:
Marco Rubio (R) 54
Val Demings (D) 43

Florida Governor:
Ron DeSantis (R) 55
Charlie Crist (D) 41

Marist
North Carolina Senate:
Ted Budd (R) 49
Cheri Beasley (D) 45

CBS News / YouGov
Pennsylvania Governor:
Josh Shapiro (D) 54
Doug Mastriano (R) 45

Univision / Shaw And Co.
Texas Governor:
Greg Abbott (R) 46
Beto O'Rourke (D) 42

The Hill / Emerson
Connecticut Senate:
Richard Blumenthal (D) 53
Leora Levy (R) 40

Connecticut Governor:
Ned Lamont (D) 52
Bob Stefanowski (R) 41

Illinois Senate:
Tammy Duckworth (D) 49
Kathy Salvi (R) 39

Illinois Governor:
J.B. Pritzker (D) 50
Darren Bailey (R) 41

Illinois 2024:
Biden 49
Trump 37

South Dakota Governor:
Kristi Noem (R) 56
Jamie Smith (D) 37

Economist / YouGov
Generic Congressional Ballot:
Democrats 49
Republicans 45

Democracy Corps
Generic Congressional Ballot:
Republicans 50
Democrats 48

Politico / Morning Consult
Generic Congressional Ballot:
Democrats 47
Republicans 42

[Rate This]

October 27

Insider Advantage
Pennsylvania Senate:
Mehmet Oz (R) 48
John Fetterman (D) 45

Pennsylvania Governor:
Josh Shapiro (D) 50
Doug Mastriano (R) 42

Rasmussen Reports
Georgia Senate:
Herschel Walker (R) 48
Raphael Warnock (D) 43

Georgia Governor:
Brian Kemp (R) 51
Stacey Abrams (D) 41

Georgia 2024:
Trump 47
Biden 39

Trafalgar Group
Nevada Senate:
Adam Laxalt (R) 50
Catherine Cortez Masto (D) 46

Nevada Governor:
Joe Lombardo (R) 51
Steve Sisolak (D) 44

Oregon Governor:
Christine Drazan (R) 42
Tina Kotek (D) 40
Betsy Johnson (I) 13

Cygnal
Ohio Senate (Tracking Poll):
J.D. Vance (R) 49
Tim Ryan (D) 44

Ohio Governor (Tracking Poll):
Mike DeWine (R) 56
Nan Whaley (D) 35

PPIC
California Governor:
Gavin Newsom (D) 55
Brian Dahle (R) 36

Baltimore Sun
Maryland Governor:
Wes Moore (D) 58
Dan Cox (R) 27

Insider Advantage
Generic Congressional Ballot:
Republicans 48
Democrats 44

USA Today / Suffolk
Generic Congressional Ballot:
Republicans 49
Democrats 45

2024 General Election:
Biden 46
Trump 42