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2022 Midterm Polling Thread

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Re: 2022 Midterm Polling Thread

Post by Rate This » Tue Sep 13, 2022 9:02 pm

September 13

East Carolina University
North Carolina Senate:
Ted Budd (R) 49 Cheri Beasley (D) 46

North Carolina 2024:
Trump 46 Biden 45

The Hill / Emerson
Connecticut Governor:
Ned Lamont (D) 49 Bob Stefanowski (R) 38

Harvard-Harris
Generic Congressional Vote:
Democrats 51 Republicans 49

2024 Republican Primary -- Cutoff to be listed here is 5%, anyone under that... too bad:
Trump 59
DeSantis 17
Pence 9

2024 General Election:
Trump 45 Biden 42



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Re: 2022 Midterm Polling Thread

Post by Rate This » Wed Sep 14, 2022 9:44 pm

September 14

Marquette
Wisconsin Senate:
Ron Johnson (R) 49 Mandela Barnes (D) 48

Wisconsin Governor:
Tony Evers (D) 47 Tim Michels (R) 44

Quinnipiac
Georgia Senate:
Raphael Warnock (D) 52 Herschel Walker (R) 46

Georgia Governor:
Brian Kemp (R) 50 Stacey Abrams (D) 48

The Hill / Emerson
Nevada Senate:
Adam Laxalt (R) 42 Catherine Cortez Masto (D) 41

Nevada Governor:
Joe Lombardo (R) 40 Steve Sisolak (D) 40

2024 Nevada General Election:
Trump 43 Biden 40

Connecticut Senate:
Richard Blumenthal (D) 49 Leora Levy (R) 36

CBS News / YouGov
Pennsylvania Senate:
John Fetterman (D) 52 Mehmet Oz (R) 47

Pennsylvania Governor:
Josh Shapiro (D) 55 Doug Mastriano (R) 44

KOB-TV Albuquerque, NM/ Survey USA
New Mexico Governor:
Michelle Lujan Grisham (D) 48 Mark Ronchetti (R) 36

Sooner Poll
Oklahoma Senate Special Election -- Jim Inhofe is resigning effective January 3, 2023 and this will be for the remaining 4 years:
Markwayne Mullin (R) 52 Kendra Horn (D) 40

Oklahoma Senate Regular Election:
James Lankford (R) 52 Madison Horn (D) 35

Oklahoma Governor:
Kevin Stitt (R) 44 Joy Hofmeister (D) 43

Economist / YouGov
Generic Congressional Ballot:
Democrats 43 Republicans 39

FOX News
Generic Congressional Ballot:
Democrats 44 Republicans 41

Politico / Morning Consult
Generic Congressional Ballot:
Democrats 47 Republicans 42



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Re: 2022 Midterm Polling Thread

Post by Matt » Wed Sep 14, 2022 9:53 pm

"Markwayne" seems like a West Virginia name.


What's more pathetic: harassing an old man who is paying to do a radio show or supporting a grifter like Trump?

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Re: 2022 Midterm Polling Thread

Post by Rate This » Wed Sep 14, 2022 10:43 pm

Matt wrote:
Wed Sep 14, 2022 9:53 pm
"Markwayne" seems like a West Virginia name.
I immediately pictured some sort of cowboy in a western…



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Re: 2022 Midterm Polling Thread

Post by Rate This » Mon Sep 19, 2022 12:58 am

September 15

Fabrizio / Anzalone
Alaska Senate:
Kelly Tshibaka (R) 46
Lisa Murkowski (R) 38
Pat Chesbro (D) 14

Alaska Governor:
Mike Dunleavy (R) 45
Les Gara (D) 24
Bill Walker (I) 17
Charlie Pierce (R) 6

Alaska At Large District:
Mary Peltola (D) 45
Sarah Palin (R) 30
Nick Begich (R) 20
Chris Bye (L) 2

The Hill / Emerson
New Mexico Governor:
Michelle Lujan Grisham (D) 48
Mark Ronchetti (R) 43

2024 New Mexico General Election:
Biden 47
Trump 41

University of Texas / Texas Tribune
Texas Governor:
Greg Abbott (R) 45
Beto O'Rourke (D) 40

Boston Globe / Suffolk
Massachusetts Governor:
Maura Healey (D) 52
Geoff Diehl (R) 26

PPIC
California Governor:
Gavin Newsom (D) 58
Brian Dahle (R) 31


September 16

The Hill / Emerson
Ohio Senate:
J.D. Vance (R) 44
Tim Ryan (D) 40

Ohio Governor:
Mike DeWine (R) 50
Nan Whaley (D) 33

2024 Ohio General Election:
Trump 50
Biden 40

Trafalgar Group
Pennsylvania Senate:
John Fetterman (D) 48
Mehmet Oz (R) 46

Pennsylvania Governor:
Josh Shapiro (D) 47
Doug Mastriano (R) 45

WHDH-TV Boston, MA / Emerson
New Hampshire Senate:
Maggie Hassan (D) 51
Don Bolduc (R) 40

New Hampshire Governor:
Chris Sununu (R) 52
Tom Sherman (D) 37

2024 New Hampshire General Election:
Biden 45
Trump 42

Rasmussen Reports
Generic Congressional Ballot:
Republicans 43
Democrats 42

New York Times / Siena
Generic Congressional Ballot:
Democrats 46
Republicans 44

2024 General Election:
Biden 45
Trump 42


September 18

Trafalgar Group
Arizona Senate:
Mark Kelly (D) 47
Blake Masters (R) 45

Arizona Governor:
Kari Lake (R) 50
Katie Hobbs (D) 46

Minneapolis Star-Tribune / Mason Dixon
Minnesota Governor:
Tim Walz (D) 48
Scott Jensen (R) 41

MPRC
Maine Governor:
Janet Mills (D) 49
Paul LePage (R) 38

Talk Business / Hendrix College
Arkansas Senate:
John Boozman (R) 44
Natalie James (D) 31

Arkansas Governor:
Sara Huckabee Sanders (R) 51
Chris Jones (D) 40

NBC News
Generic Congressional Ballot:
Democrats 46 Republicans 46



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Re: 2022 Midterm Polling Thread

Post by Rate This » Tue Sep 20, 2022 12:23 am

September 19

Target-Insyght
Michigan District 7:
Elissa Slotkin (D) 56
Tom Barrett (R) 38

Dallas Morning News
Texas Governor:
Greg Abbott (R) 50
Beto O'Rourke (D) 39

Goucher College
Maryland Senate:
Chris Van Hollen (D) 56
Chris Chaffee (R) 33

Maryland Governor:
Wes Moore (D) 53
Dan Cox (R) 31



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Re: 2022 Midterm Polling Thread

Post by Matt » Wed Sep 21, 2022 7:07 pm

Rate This wrote:
Tue Sep 20, 2022 12:23 am
September 19

Target-Insyght
Michigan District 7:
Elissa Slotkin (D) 56
Tom Barrett (R) 38

Dallas Morning News
Texas Governor:
Greg Abbott (R) 50
Beto O'Rourke (D) 39

Goucher College
Maryland Senate:
Chris Van Hollen (D) 56
Chris Chaffee (R) 33

Maryland Governor:
Wes Moore (D) 53
Dan Cox (R) 31
An aside from polling - The Other Wes Moore is a great read.


What's more pathetic: harassing an old man who is paying to do a radio show or supporting a grifter like Trump?

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Re: 2022 Midterm Polling Thread

Post by Rate This » Wed Sep 21, 2022 7:24 pm

Matt wrote:
Wed Sep 21, 2022 7:07 pm
Rate This wrote:
Tue Sep 20, 2022 12:23 am
September 19

Target-Insyght
Michigan District 7:
Elissa Slotkin (D) 56
Tom Barrett (R) 38

Dallas Morning News
Texas Governor:
Greg Abbott (R) 50
Beto O'Rourke (D) 39

Goucher College
Maryland Senate:
Chris Van Hollen (D) 56
Chris Chaffee (R) 33

Maryland Governor:
Wes Moore (D) 53
Dan Cox (R) 31
An aside from polling - The Other Wes Moore is a great read.
Interesting I’ll have to look that one up.



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Re: 2022 Midterm Polling Thread

Post by Rate This » Wed Sep 21, 2022 11:07 pm

September 20

Emerson
Wisconsin Senate:
Ron Johnson (R) 48
Mandela Barnes (D) 44

Wisconsin Governor:
Tony Evers (D) 45
Tim Michels (R) 43

Wisconsin 2024:
Biden 45
Trump 44

Spectrum News / Siena
Wisconsin Senate:
Mandela Barnes (D) 48
Ron Johnson (R) 47

Wisconsin Governor:
Tony Evers (D) 49
Tim Michels (R) 44

Atlanta Journal-Constitution
Georgia Senate:
Herschel Walker (R) 46
Raphael Warnock (D) 44

Georgia Governor:
Brian Kemp (R) 50
Stacey Abrams (D) 42

Marist
Georgia Senate:
Raphael Warnock (D) 47
Herschel Walker (R) 45

Georgia Governor:
Brian Kemp (R) 53
Stacey Abrams (D) 42

The Hill / Emerson
North Carolina Senate:
Ted Budd (R) 46
Cheri Beasley (D) 43

North Carolina 2024:
Trump 47
Biden 42

Alpha News / Trafalgar Group
Minnesota Governor:
Tim Walz (D) 48
Scott Jensen (R) 45

KMOV-TV / Survey USA
Missouri Senate:
Eric Schmitt (R) 47
Trudi Busch-Valentine (D) 36


September 21

USA Today / Suffolk
Florida Senate:
Marco Rubio (R) 45
Val Demings (D) 41

Florida Governor:
Ron DeSantis (R) 48
Charlie Crist (D) 41

Florida 2024:
Trump 47
Biden 44

Marist
Ohio Senate:
J.D. Vance (R) 48
Tim Ryan (D) 47

Ohio Governor:
Mike DeWine (R) 55
Nan Whaley (D) 39

CBS News / YouGov
Georgia Senate:
Raphael Warnock (D) 51
Herschel Walker (R) 49

Georgia Governor:
Brian Kemp (R) 52
Stacey Abrams (D) 46

The Hill / Emerson
Kansas Senate:
Jerry Moran (R) 45
Mark Holland (D) 33

Kansas Governor:
Laura Kelly (D) 45
Derek Schmidt (R) 43

Kansas 2024:
Trump 52
Biden 36

Quinnipiac
Connecticut Senate:
Richard Blumenthal (D) 57
Leora Levy (R) 40

Connecticut Governor:
Ned Lamont (D) 57
Bob Stefanowski (R) 40

UNH
New Hampshire Governor:
Chris Sununu (R) 55
Tom Sherman (D) 37

Economist / YouGov
Generic Congressional Ballot:
Democrats 45
Republicans 40

Politico / Morning Consult
Generic Congressional Ballot:
Democrats 46
Republicans 41

2024 Republican Nomination:
Trump 52
DeSantis 19
Pence 8



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Re: 2022 Midterm Polling Thread

Post by TC Talks » Thu Sep 22, 2022 7:42 am

The NY Times just published an interesting poll. The candidate results aren't to surprising, but the values and issues questions are pretty interesting.

September 2022 Times/Siena Poll: Cross-Tabs for All Respondents - The New York Times
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/202 ... stabs.html


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Re: 2022 Midterm Polling Thread

Post by Rate This » Sat Sep 24, 2022 11:13 pm

September 22

Detroit Free Press / EPIC-MRA
Michigan Governor:
Gretchen Whitmer (D) 55
Tudor Dixon (R) 39

Insider Advantage
Nevada Senate:
Adam Laxalt (R) 46
Catherine Cortez Masto (D) 43

Trafalgar Group
Nevada Senate:
Adam Laxalt (R) 47
Catherine Cortez Masto (D) 43

Nevada Governor:
Joe Lombardo (R) 48
Steve Sisolak (D) 45

Morning Call
Pennsylvania Senate:
John Fetterman (D) 49
Mehmet Oz (R) 44

Pennsylvania Governor:
Josh Shapiro (D) 53
Doug Mastriano (R) 42

The Hill / Emerson
Colorado Senate:
Michael Bennett (D) 46
Joe O'Dea (R) 36

Colorado Governor:
Jared Polis (D) 53
Heidi Ganahl (R) 36

Colorado 2024:
Biden 46
Trump 36

UNH
New Hampshire Senate:
Maggie Hassan (D) 49
Don Bolduc (R) 41

Spectrum News / Siena
Texas Governor:
Greg Abbott (R) 50
Beto O'Rourke (D) 43


September 23

Trafalgar Group
Wisconsin Senate:
Ron Johnson (R) 49
Mandela Barnes (D) 47

Wisconsin Governor:
Tim Michels (R) 48
Tony Evers (D) 47

Fabrizio / Anzalone
Arizona Senate:
Mark Kelly (D) 50
Blake Masters (R) 42

Arizona Governor:
Katie Hobbs (D) 49
Kari Lake (R) 48

OH Predictive Insights
Arizona Senate:
Mark Kelly (D) 47
Blake Masters (R) 35

Deseret News / Hinckley Institute
Utah Senate:
Mike Lee (R) 40
Evan McMullin (I) 35

Emerson
Maine Governor:
Janet Mills (D) 53
Paul LePage (R) 41

Maine 2024:
Biden 51
Trump 40

Generic Congressional Ballot:
Democrats 45
Republicans 45

General Election 2024:
Biden 45
Trump 44

Rasmussen Reports
Generic Congressional Ballot:
Republicans 44
Democrats 42



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Re: 2022 Midterm Polling Thread

Post by MotorCityRadioFreak » Sun Sep 25, 2022 12:18 am

Rate This wrote:
Sat Sep 24, 2022 11:13 pm
September 22

Detroit Free Press / EPIC-MRA
Michigan Governor:
Gretchen Whitmer (D) 55
Tudor Dixon (R) 39

Insider Advantage
Nevada Senate:
Adam Laxalt (R) 46
Catherine Cortez Masto (D) 43

Trafalgar Group
Nevada Senate:
Adam Laxalt (R) 47
Catherine Cortez Masto (D) 43

Nevada Governor:
Joe Lombardo (R) 48
Steve Sisolak (D) 45

Morning Call
Pennsylvania Senate:
John Fetterman (D) 49
Mehmet Oz (R) 44

Pennsylvania Governor:
Josh Shapiro (D) 53
Doug Mastriano (R) 42

The Hill / Emerson
Colorado Senate:
Michael Bennett (D) 46
Joe O'Dea (R) 36

Colorado Governor:
Jared Polis (D) 53
Heidi Ganahl (R) 36

Colorado 2024:
Biden 46
Trump 36

UNH
New Hampshire Senate:
Maggie Hassan (D) 49
Don Bolduc (R) 41

Spectrum News / Siena
Texas Governor:
Greg Abbott (R) 50
Beto O'Rourke (D) 43


September 23

Trafalgar Group
Wisconsin Senate:
Ron Johnson (R) 49
Mandela Barnes (D) 47

Wisconsin Governor:
Tim Michels (R) 48
Tony Evers (D) 47

Fabrizio / Anzalone
Arizona Senate:
Mark Kelly (D) 50
Blake Masters (R) 42

Arizona Governor:
Katie Hobbs (D) 49
Kari Lake (R) 48

OH Predictive Insights
Arizona Senate:
Mark Kelly (D) 47
Blake Masters (R) 35

Deseret News / Hinckley Institute
Utah Senate:
Mike Lee (R) 40
Evan McMullin (I) 35

Emerson
Maine Governor:
Janet Mills (D) 53
Paul LePage (R) 41

Maine 2024:
Biden 51
Trump 40

Generic Congressional Ballot:
Democrats 45
Republicans 45

General Election 2024:
Biden 45
Trump 44

Rasmussen Reports
Generic Congressional Ballot:
Republicans 44
Democrats 42
I had no idea Democrats were getting obliterated in Nevada. I guess Vegas is going red.


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Re: 2022 Midterm Polling Thread

Post by Rate This » Sun Sep 25, 2022 7:54 am

MotorCityRadioFreak wrote:
Sun Sep 25, 2022 12:18 am
Rate This wrote:
Sat Sep 24, 2022 11:13 pm
September 22

Detroit Free Press / EPIC-MRA
Michigan Governor:
Gretchen Whitmer (D) 55
Tudor Dixon (R) 39

Insider Advantage
Nevada Senate:
Adam Laxalt (R) 46
Catherine Cortez Masto (D) 43

Trafalgar Group
Nevada Senate:
Adam Laxalt (R) 47
Catherine Cortez Masto (D) 43

Nevada Governor:
Joe Lombardo (R) 48
Steve Sisolak (D) 45

Morning Call
Pennsylvania Senate:
John Fetterman (D) 49
Mehmet Oz (R) 44

Pennsylvania Governor:
Josh Shapiro (D) 53
Doug Mastriano (R) 42

The Hill / Emerson
Colorado Senate:
Michael Bennett (D) 46
Joe O'Dea (R) 36

Colorado Governor:
Jared Polis (D) 53
Heidi Ganahl (R) 36

Colorado 2024:
Biden 46
Trump 36

UNH
New Hampshire Senate:
Maggie Hassan (D) 49
Don Bolduc (R) 41

Spectrum News / Siena
Texas Governor:
Greg Abbott (R) 50
Beto O'Rourke (D) 43


September 23

Trafalgar Group
Wisconsin Senate:
Ron Johnson (R) 49
Mandela Barnes (D) 47

Wisconsin Governor:
Tim Michels (R) 48
Tony Evers (D) 47

Fabrizio / Anzalone
Arizona Senate:
Mark Kelly (D) 50
Blake Masters (R) 42

Arizona Governor:
Katie Hobbs (D) 49
Kari Lake (R) 48

OH Predictive Insights
Arizona Senate:
Mark Kelly (D) 47
Blake Masters (R) 35

Deseret News / Hinckley Institute
Utah Senate:
Mike Lee (R) 40
Evan McMullin (I) 35

Emerson
Maine Governor:
Janet Mills (D) 53
Paul LePage (R) 41

Maine 2024:
Biden 51
Trump 40

Generic Congressional Ballot:
Democrats 45
Republicans 45

General Election 2024:
Biden 45
Trump 44

Rasmussen Reports
Generic Congressional Ballot:
Republicans 44
Democrats 42
I had no idea Democrats were getting obliterated in Nevada. I guess Vegas is going red.
I strongly suspect that if this holds it’ll be a reaction by all those vegas workers to pandemic restrictions. Vegas was obviously hit very hard in the pandemic.



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Re: 2022 Midterm Polling Thread

Post by MWmetalhead » Sun Sep 25, 2022 10:12 am

The Republicans have definitely gained ground compared to August polling in several battleground states, but Michigan is not one such place.

Their improvement in Nevada in particular is quite remarkable, if memory serves.



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Re: 2022 Midterm Polling Thread

Post by bmw » Sun Sep 25, 2022 10:34 am

The latest ABC News/Washington Post set of polls is interesting:

39 Biden Approval
+5 Republicans generic
+2 Trump over Biden in general



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