They're projecting high 270s to low 280s for Trump in the Electoral College. Their current projections:
Texas - Trump
Georgia - Trump
Florida - Trump
North Carolina - Trump
Iowa - Probably Trump
Ohio - Probably Trump
Arizona - Probably Trump
Michigan - Probably Trump
Pennsylvania - Toss-up, slightly leaning Trump
Wisconsin - (presumably likely Biden)
Interesting read:
https://www.nationalreview.com/2020/10/ ... -is-ahead/
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Trafalgar projecting narrow Trump Electoral College win
Re: Trafalgar projecting narrow Trump Electoral College win
You might find this interesting too...
https://www.westernjournal.com/pollster ... -industry/
The Democracy Institute think-tank, which is associated with the libertarian Cato Institute, was one of the only pollsters to correctly predict two seismic political events. As Jim Rossi at Forbes pointed out, “[t]he Democracy Institute is a relative newcomer to political polling – but it correctly forecast Brexit and Trump’s historic 2016 upset.”
There’s no denying the Democracy Institute’s polling represents an outlier — but there are plenty of outliers within both indices, outliers which can’t lay claim to predicting either Brexit or the 2016 election. The major difference seems to be that its polling has consistently shown President Donald Trump ahead of Democratic nominee Joe Biden, both nationally and in major battleground states.
In Forbes’ words, it’s the “only” poll that “shows Trump leading.”
“With most of the mainstream polls — New York Times, CNN, the university polls – a fundamental assumption is that the electorate — aka turnout — will be much, much larger than 2016,” he told Forbes, saying those outlets estimate “10-30 million more [voters], that’s 25-30 percent larger. That makes it essential that polls capture many, many more Democrat voters.”
The outfit’s most recent poll, released earlier this month, showed Trump still leading Biden nationally, 46 percent to 45 percent. This was within the poll’s margin of error of +/- 2.5 percentage points; it was conducted among 1,500 likely voters between Sept. 30 and Oct. 2.
https://www.westernjournal.com/pollster ... -industry/
New York and Chicago were all in with respect to their sanctuary status — until they were hit with the challenge of actually providing sanctuary. In other words, typical liberal hypocrisy.
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MotorCityRadioFreak
- Posts: 6453
- Joined: Wed Jul 29, 2020 6:26 am
- Location: Warren, MI
Re: Trafalgar projecting narrow Trump Electoral College win
The Republican think tank picks Trump. I'm shocked!
They/them, non-binary and proud.
Remember that “2000 Mules” was concocted by a circus of elephants.
The right needs to stop worry about what’s between people’s legs. Instead, they should focus on what’s between their ears.
Audacity sucks.
Remember that “2000 Mules” was concocted by a circus of elephants.
The right needs to stop worry about what’s between people’s legs. Instead, they should focus on what’s between their ears.
Audacity sucks.
Re: Trafalgar projecting narrow Trump Electoral College win
Oh! Oh! But wait!
There’s also USC Dornslife which was the ONLY national poll to have Trump winning last time... their current result? Biden by 12.
There’s also USC Dornslife which was the ONLY national poll to have Trump winning last time... their current result? Biden by 12.
Re: Trafalgar projecting narrow Trump Electoral College win
Shouldn't you be out hunting coyotes? Or brushing up on your reading skills?
New York and Chicago were all in with respect to their sanctuary status — until they were hit with the challenge of actually providing sanctuary. In other words, typical liberal hypocrisy.
Re: Trafalgar projecting narrow Trump Electoral College win
Good sign I’ve hit a nerve if you’re gonna ignore the fact I stated above. I feel accomplished now. I should take the rest of the day off. See you after midnight for more from the Trump Total Polling Collapse series.
Re: Trafalgar projecting narrow Trump Electoral College win
Well, at least the coyotes are safe...
New York and Chicago were all in with respect to their sanctuary status — until they were hit with the challenge of actually providing sanctuary. In other words, typical liberal hypocrisy.
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MotorCityRadioFreak
- Posts: 6453
- Joined: Wed Jul 29, 2020 6:26 am
- Location: Warren, MI
Re: Trafalgar projecting narrow Trump Electoral College win
Amazing how that works. Also Quinnipiac which has been around forever skews Biden.
They/them, non-binary and proud.
Remember that “2000 Mules” was concocted by a circus of elephants.
The right needs to stop worry about what’s between people’s legs. Instead, they should focus on what’s between their ears.
Audacity sucks.
Remember that “2000 Mules” was concocted by a circus of elephants.
The right needs to stop worry about what’s between people’s legs. Instead, they should focus on what’s between their ears.
Audacity sucks.
Re: Trafalgar projecting narrow Trump Electoral College win
The Bee Gees had an album called "Trafalgar" in 1971!!!