Litchman predicts Biden

[TC Talks]

Here you go...

The professor famous for accurately predicting the winner of every presidential election since 1984 has issued his verdict for 2020: Joe Biden will defeat President Trump.

American University Professor Allan Lichtman uses a system he created of 13 "keys" that decide who will win the White House. In 2016, Lichtman was one of the few forecasters who said Mr. Trump would be the next president — and he also predicted that Trump would be impeached. Four years after those calls, he foresees a Biden victory in November.

"The keys predict that Trump will lose the White House," Lichtman says in a New York Times video op-ed released Wednesday.


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But Lichtman considers it as a close contest, and notes that there are extraordinary factors that could still alter the outcome. The 13 keys in his system include factors like incumbency, long-term and short-term economic figures, social unrest, and scandals, as well as the candidates' personal charisma.

According to Lichtman's system, seven of the 13 keys favor Biden and six favor Trump, giving the presumptive Democratic nominee the slightest advantage for victory.

Lichtman sees several keys working out for Mr. Trump: He's the incumbent, he faces no serious third-party or Republican primary challenger, he has issued major policy changes and avoided any crucial military failure abroad, and he's running against a man Lichtman deems an "uncharismatic challenger."

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/08/05/opin ... htman.html

[Deleted User 12047]

When the New York Times reported in 2016 that this same professor predicted a Trump win using the same process, were they trash then?

https://www.nytimes.com/2016/11/10/arts ... -data.html

Is the NYTImes Opinion page anti-Trump? DUH. But their news reporters are top notch and deserve more credit.. the same way Fox News does when they file great stories and reports.

This media trash talk is boring.