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- M.W.
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- M.W.
2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread
- MotorCityRadioFreak
- Posts: 7333
- Joined: Wed Jul 29, 2020 6:26 am
- Location: Warren, MI
Re: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread
Is the Alabama election a total anomaly? How can Democrats do so well in in a +5 R district and win by 25 points and be behind in Georgia?
They/them, non-binary and proud.
Remember that “2000 Mules” was concocted by a circus of elephants.
The right needs to stop worry about what’s between people’s legs. Instead, they should focus on what’s between their ears.
Audacity sucks.
Remember that “2000 Mules” was concocted by a circus of elephants.
The right needs to stop worry about what’s between people’s legs. Instead, they should focus on what’s between their ears.
Audacity sucks.
Re: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread
I don’t think it’s an anomaly at all… since Roe was overturned they have consistently done better than expected and shocked people over and over winning where they shouldn’t when they run on reproductive rights. It’s clearly a winner for them. I also think the polls have something wrong with them… there is a disconnect between the polls and the overachievement that I haven’t seen a satisfactory explanation to.MotorCityRadioFreak wrote: ↑Thu Mar 28, 2024 5:08 am Is the Alabama election a total anomaly? How can Democrats do so well in in a +5 R district and win by 25 points and be behind in Georgia?
Donald Trump… In your guts you know he’s nuts.
Re: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread
That's not necessarily going to continue through the fall. It is true that it partially stopped an expected red wave in 2022, but that was also aided by a crop of terrible Trump backed candidates. Alabama was different because the IVF thing JUST HAPPENED. It remains to be seen how much staying power the issue has where it is front and center.Rate This wrote: ↑Thu Mar 28, 2024 7:25 amI don’t think it’s an anomaly at all… since Roe was overturned they have consistently done better than expected and shocked people over and over winning where they shouldn’t when they run on reproductive rights. It’s clearly a winner for them. I also think the polls have something wrong with them… there is a disconnect between the polls and the overachievement that I haven’t seen a satisfactory explanation to.MotorCityRadioFreak wrote: ↑Thu Mar 28, 2024 5:08 am Is the Alabama election a total anomaly? How can Democrats do so well in in a +5 R district and win by 25 points and be behind in Georgia?
This is a pro-Harris/Walz account
"I have to admit - Matt is right." ~bmw
"I have to admit - Matt is right." ~bmw
Re: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread
It also happened in 2023 and has continued this year… they are also lining up another pile of Trump backed candidates.Matt wrote: ↑Thu Mar 28, 2024 10:10 amThat's not necessarily going to continue through the fall. It is true that it partially stopped an expected red wave in 2022, but that was also aided by a crop of terrible Trump backed candidates. Alabama was different because the IVF thing JUST HAPPENED. It remains to be seen how much staying power the issue has where it is front and center.Rate This wrote: ↑Thu Mar 28, 2024 7:25 amI don’t think it’s an anomaly at all… since Roe was overturned they have consistently done better than expected and shocked people over and over winning where they shouldn’t when they run on reproductive rights. It’s clearly a winner for them. I also think the polls have something wrong with them… there is a disconnect between the polls and the overachievement that I haven’t seen a satisfactory explanation to.MotorCityRadioFreak wrote: ↑Thu Mar 28, 2024 5:08 am Is the Alabama election a total anomaly? How can Democrats do so well in in a +5 R district and win by 25 points and be behind in Georgia?
Donald Trump… In your guts you know he’s nuts.
Re: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread
March 28
FOX News
General Election:
Trump 50
Biden 45
Trump 43
Biden 38
Kennedy 12
Stein 2
West 2
Forbes / HarrisX
General Election:
Biden 50
Trump 50
Trump 42
Biden 40
Kennedy 14
Stein 2
West 2
FOX News
General Election:
Trump 50
Biden 45
Trump 43
Biden 38
Kennedy 12
Stein 2
West 2
Forbes / HarrisX
General Election:
Biden 50
Trump 50
Trump 42
Biden 40
Kennedy 14
Stein 2
West 2
Donald Trump… In your guts you know he’s nuts.
Re: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread
April 2
Morning Consult
Biden 44
Trump 42
Trafalgar Group
Trump 43
Biden 40
Kennedy 11
West 2
Stein 1
The Hill / Emerson
New Jersey General Election:
Biden 46
Trump 39
Biden 41
Trump 36
Kennedy 8
West 1
Stein 1
Morning Consult
Biden 44
Trump 42
Trafalgar Group
Trump 43
Biden 40
Kennedy 11
West 2
Stein 1
The Hill / Emerson
New Jersey General Election:
Biden 46
Trump 39
Biden 41
Trump 36
Kennedy 8
West 1
Stein 1
Donald Trump… In your guts you know he’s nuts.
Re: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread
April 3
Wall Street Journal
Michigan General Election:
Trump 48
Biden 45
Trump 39
Biden 37
Kennedy 12
Stein 2
West 2
Arizona General Election:
Trump 47
Biden 42
Trump 39
Biden 34
Kennedy 13
West 2
Stein 1
Georgia General Election:
Trump 44
Biden 43
Trump 38
Biden 35
Kennedy 8
West 2
Stein 1
Nevada General Election:
Trump 48
Biden 44
Trump 37
Biden 33
Kennedy 15
West 2
Stein 2
North Carolina General Election:
Trump 49
Biden 43
Trump 42
Biden 34
Kennedy 10
West 2
Stein 1
Pennsylvania General Election:
Trump 47
Biden 44
Trump 41
Biden 38
Kennedy 7
West 3
Stein 1
Wisconsin General Election:
Trump 46
Biden 46
Biden 41
Trump 38
Kennedy 10
Stein 1
West 1
NPR / PBS / Marist
General Election:
Biden 50
Trump 48
Biden 43
Trump 41
Kennedy 11
Stein 2
West 1
Economist / YouGov
General Election:
Trump 43
Biden 43
Kennedy 2
West 1
Stein 0
Generic Congressional Ballot:
Democrats 44
Republicans 41
Wall Street Journal
Michigan General Election:
Trump 48
Biden 45
Trump 39
Biden 37
Kennedy 12
Stein 2
West 2
Arizona General Election:
Trump 47
Biden 42
Trump 39
Biden 34
Kennedy 13
West 2
Stein 1
Georgia General Election:
Trump 44
Biden 43
Trump 38
Biden 35
Kennedy 8
West 2
Stein 1
Nevada General Election:
Trump 48
Biden 44
Trump 37
Biden 33
Kennedy 15
West 2
Stein 2
North Carolina General Election:
Trump 49
Biden 43
Trump 42
Biden 34
Kennedy 10
West 2
Stein 1
Pennsylvania General Election:
Trump 47
Biden 44
Trump 41
Biden 38
Kennedy 7
West 3
Stein 1
Wisconsin General Election:
Trump 46
Biden 46
Biden 41
Trump 38
Kennedy 10
Stein 1
West 1
NPR / PBS / Marist
General Election:
Biden 50
Trump 48
Biden 43
Trump 41
Kennedy 11
Stein 2
West 1
Economist / YouGov
General Election:
Trump 43
Biden 43
Kennedy 2
West 1
Stein 0
Generic Congressional Ballot:
Democrats 44
Republicans 41
Donald Trump… In your guts you know he’s nuts.
Re: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread
They snuck one by me even though I looked at 1am the next morning before writing it up. RCP makes goofy decisions about going back and adding polls to previous days sometimes. Their new format is inferior to the original too.
April 3 Part 2
Data For Progress
General Election:
Biden 47
Trump 46
Trump 42
Biden 41
Kennedy 8
West 1
Stein 1
Generic Congressional Ballot:
Democrats 46
Republicans 44
April 4
Marquette
General Election:
Trump 50
Biden 50
Trump 41
Biden 38
Kennedy 14
West 5
Stein 2
Generic Congressional Ballot:
Republicans 52
Democrats 48
Emerson
General Election:
Trump 46
Biden 45
Trump 43
Biden 42
Kennedy 8
West 1
Stein 1
Generic Congressional Ballot:
Democrats 46
Republicans 45
Rasmusen Reports
General Election:
Trump 49
Biden 41
Trump 44
Biden 38
Kennedy 10
Trump 45
Biden 38
Kennedy 9
West 2
Stein 1
Franklin & Marshall
Pennsylvania General Election:
Biden 48
Trump 38
Biden 42
Trump 40
Kennedy 9
Stein 3
April 3 Part 2
Data For Progress
General Election:
Biden 47
Trump 46
Trump 42
Biden 41
Kennedy 8
West 1
Stein 1
Generic Congressional Ballot:
Democrats 46
Republicans 44
April 4
Marquette
General Election:
Trump 50
Biden 50
Trump 41
Biden 38
Kennedy 14
West 5
Stein 2
Generic Congressional Ballot:
Republicans 52
Democrats 48
Emerson
General Election:
Trump 46
Biden 45
Trump 43
Biden 42
Kennedy 8
West 1
Stein 1
Generic Congressional Ballot:
Democrats 46
Republicans 45
Rasmusen Reports
General Election:
Trump 49
Biden 41
Trump 44
Biden 38
Kennedy 10
Trump 45
Biden 38
Kennedy 9
West 2
Stein 1
Franklin & Marshall
Pennsylvania General Election:
Biden 48
Trump 38
Biden 42
Trump 40
Kennedy 9
Stein 3
Donald Trump… In your guts you know he’s nuts.
Re: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread
April 8
I&I / TIPP
General Election:
Biden 43
Trump 40
Trump 38
Biden 38
Kennedy 11
West 2
Stein 1
I&I / TIPP
General Election:
Biden 43
Trump 40
Trump 38
Biden 38
Kennedy 11
West 2
Stein 1
Donald Trump… In your guts you know he’s nuts.
Re: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread
April 9
Morning Consult
General Election:
Trump 44
Biden 43
Morning Consult
General Election:
Trump 44
Biden 43
Donald Trump… In your guts you know he’s nuts.
Re: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread
April 10
Reuters / Ipsos
General Election:
Biden 41
Trump 37
Economist / YouGov
General Election:
Trump 43
Biden 42
Kennedy 3
West 1
Stein 0
Generic Congressional Ballot:
Republicans 43
Democrats 43
KSTP-TV Minneapolis-St. Paul / Survey USA
Minnesota General Election:
Biden 44
Trump 42
Quinnipiac
North Carolina General Election:
Trump 48
Biden 46
Trump 41
Biden 38
Kennedy 12
West 3
Stein 3
Reuters / Ipsos
General Election:
Biden 41
Trump 37
Economist / YouGov
General Election:
Trump 43
Biden 42
Kennedy 3
West 1
Stein 0
Generic Congressional Ballot:
Republicans 43
Democrats 43
KSTP-TV Minneapolis-St. Paul / Survey USA
Minnesota General Election:
Biden 44
Trump 42
Quinnipiac
North Carolina General Election:
Trump 48
Biden 46
Trump 41
Biden 38
Kennedy 12
West 3
Stein 3
Donald Trump… In your guts you know he’s nuts.
Re: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread
The censorship king from out of state.
Re: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread
Not much from Beemer on the subject lately…
April 12
Emerson
Florida General Election:
Trump 51
Biden 38
Trump 49
Biden 35
Kennedy 6
West 1
Stein 1
High Point University
North Carolina General Election:
Trump 45
Biden 42
PPIC
California General Election:
Biden 54
Trump 31
Donald Trump… In your guts you know he’s nuts.
Re: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread
April 12
Cygnal
Texas General Election:
Trump 51
Biden 42
Trump 46
Biden 37
Kennedy 8
Stein 2
West 1
Cygnal
Texas General Election:
Trump 51
Biden 42
Trump 46
Biden 37
Kennedy 8
Stein 2
West 1
Donald Trump… In your guts you know he’s nuts.
Re: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread
April 13
New York Times / Siena
General Election:
Trump 47
Biden 46
Trump 43
Biden 42
Kennedy 2
West 1
Stein 1
New York Times / Siena
General Election:
Trump 47
Biden 46
Trump 43
Biden 42
Kennedy 2
West 1
Stein 1
Donald Trump… In your guts you know he’s nuts.