Acceptable registrations in the queue through June 3 at 5:00p ET have now been activated. Enjoy! -M.W.

Terms of Use have been amended effective October 6, 2019. Make sure you are aware of the new rules! Please visit this thread for details: https://www.mibuzzboard.com/phpBB3/view ... 16&t=48619

2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread

Debate and discussion of current events and political issues across the U.S. and throughout the World. Be forewarned -- this forum is NOT for the intellectually weak or those of you with thin skins. Don't come crying to me if you become the subject of ridicule. **Board Administrator reserves the right to revoke posting privileges based on my sole discretion**
Post Reply Previous topicNext topic
User avatar
Rate This
Posts: 14588
Joined: Wed Jan 08, 2020 12:17 am

Re: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread

Post by Rate This » Fri Nov 17, 2023 11:36 am

bmw wrote: ↑
Fri Nov 17, 2023 11:32 am
Rate This wrote: ↑
Fri Nov 17, 2023 10:57 am
 ...
I remember you saying somewhere in here recently that Trump's ceiling is 46%. His RCP one-on-one matchup number has cracked that for the first time ever - including his 2016 and 2020 runs, both of which saw him peak around 45 point something.

Image
Well... I was right for 9 years....


Top
bmw
Posts: 7040
Joined: Sun Dec 05, 2004 1:02 am

Re: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread

Post by bmw » Fri Nov 17, 2023 11:49 am

I'm simply pointing out that the Democrats should be very concerned at the moment.
Top
User avatar
Rate This
Posts: 14588
Joined: Wed Jan 08, 2020 12:17 am

Re: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread

Post by Rate This » Fri Nov 17, 2023 12:15 pm

bmw wrote: ↑
Fri Nov 17, 2023 11:49 am
 I'm simply pointing out that the Democrats should be very concerned at the moment.
I would point out the old saying "A week is a lifetime in politics"... What is a year then?
Top
User avatar
Rate This
Posts: 14588
Joined: Wed Jan 08, 2020 12:17 am

Re: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread

Post by Rate This » Tue Nov 21, 2023 2:56 pm

November 14

Morning Consult
GOP Nomination:
Trump 64
DeSantis 14
Haley 9
Ramaswamy 6

General Election:
Trump 43
Biden 42

Rasmussen Reports:
Biden 46
Trump 42

Trump 39
Biden 38
Kennedy 12

Noble Predictive Insights
Arizona GOP Nomination:
Trump 53
DeSantis 16
Ramaswamy 9
Haley 8

Arizona General Election:
Trump 46
Biden 38

DeSantis 40
Biden 37

November 15

WHDH-TV Boston / Emerson
New Hampshire GOP Primary:
Trump 49
Haley 18
Christie 9
DeSantis 7
Ramaswamy 5

New Hampshire Democratic Primary:
Biden (Write-In) 27
Phillips 15
Williamson 10

New Hampshire General Election:
Biden 47
Trump 42

Biden 40
Trump 37
Kennedy 8
West 1

Biden 46
DeSantis 38

Haley 45
Biden 39

Winthrop
South Carolina GOP Primary:
Trump 52
Haley 17
DeSantis 12
Scott 10

Quinnipiac
GOP Nomination:
Trump 64
DeSantis 16
Haley 9

Democratic Nomination:
Biden 74
Williamson 12

General Election:
Trump 48
Biden 46

Trump 38
Biden 37
Kennedy 21

Trump 38
Biden 35
Kennedy 17
West 3
Stein 3

Yahoo News
GOP Nomination:
Trump 54
DeSantis 15
Haley 10
Ramaswamy 5

Democratic Nomination:
Biden 64

General Election:
Trump 44
Biden 42

Economist / YouGov
GOP Nomination:
Trump 57
DeSantis 19
Haley 9

General Election:
Trump 43
Biden 42

Generic Congressional Ballot:
Democrats 43
Republicans 42

November 16

Iowa State / Civiqs
Iowa GOP Caucus:
Trump 54
DeSantis 18
Haley 12
Ramaswamy 6

CNN / UNH
New Hampshire GOP Primary:
Trump 42
Haley 20
Christie 14
DeSantis 9
Ramaswamy 8

FOX News
GOP Nomination:
Trump 62
DeSantis 14
Haley 11
Ramaswamy 7

Democratic Nomination:
Biden 72
Williamson 13

General Election:
Trump 50
Biden 46

Trump 41
Biden 35
Kennedy 15
West 3
Stein 3

Trump 40
Biden 35
Kennedy 13
Manchin 5
Stein 4

DeSantis 50
Biden 45

Haley 52
Biden 41

Trump 50
Harris 45

Trump 49
Newsom 45

Trump 48
Whitmer 46

Trump 47
Manchin 46

Marquette
GOP Nomination:
Trump 54
DeSantis 12
Haley 12

General Election:
Trump 52
Biden 48

DeSantis 51
Biden 49

Haley 55
Biden 45

Reuters / Ipsos
General Election:
Trump 51
Biden 49

Trump 32
Biden 30
Kennedy 20

WJW-TV Cleveland / Emerson
Ohio GOP Primary:
Trump 62
Haley 10
DeSantis 8
Ramaswamy 6

Ohio Democratic Primary:
Biden 61
Williamson 7

Ohio General Election:
Trump 50
Biden 38

Trump 45
Biden 31
Kennedy 8
Stein 2
West 1

Florida Atlantic University
Florida GOP Primary:
Trump 61
DeSantis 20
Haley 9

General Election:
Trump 49
Biden 39

DeSantis 47
Biden 39

November 17

Washington Post / Monmouth
New Hampshire GOP Primary:
Trump 46
Haley 18
Christie 11
Ramaswamy 8
DeSantis 7

CNN / UNH
New Hampshire Democratic Primary:
Biden (Write-In) 65
Phillips 10
Williamson 9

Harvard-Harris
GOP Nomination:
Trump 67
DeSantis 9
Haley 8
Ramaswamy 5

General Election:
Trump 53
Biden 47

Trump 44
Biden 36
Kennedy 21

Trump 43
Biden 34
Kennedy 18
West 3
Stein 2

Biden 45
DeSantis 42

Biden 42
Haley 41

Trump 52
Harris 40

Harris 43
DeSantis 43

Haley 42
Harris 41

Emerson
California GOP Primary:
Trump 63
DeSantis 11
Haley 5

California Democratic Primary:
Biden 62
Williamson 8

California General Election:
Biden 50
Trump 37

Biden 43
Trump 31
Kennedy 8
Stein 2
West 1

Cascade PBS / Elway
Washington State General Election:
Biden 39
Trump 29

Biden 37
Trump 25
Kennedy 9
West 3
Top
dial-it-in
Posts: 457
Joined: Wed Jan 26, 2022 9:24 pm

Re: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread

Post by dial-it-in » Wed Nov 22, 2023 9:31 pm

How ridiculous that Biden and Trump will probably be our choices. Fucking embarrassing.
Top
User avatar
Rate This
Posts: 14588
Joined: Wed Jan 08, 2020 12:17 am

Re: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread

Post by Rate This » Wed Nov 22, 2023 9:33 pm

dial-it-in wrote: ↑
Wed Nov 22, 2023 9:31 pm
 How ridiculous that Biden and Trump will probably be our choices. Fucking embarrassing.
Welcome to a mid 19th century style election with multiple options and a fragmented field.
Top
Matt
Posts: 10290
Joined: Mon Dec 06, 2004 12:18 pm
Location: Home of the National Champions

Re: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread

Post by Matt » Wed Nov 22, 2023 9:35 pm

Rate This wrote: ↑
Wed Nov 22, 2023 9:33 pm
dial-it-in wrote: ↑
Wed Nov 22, 2023 9:31 pm
 How ridiculous that Biden and Trump will probably be our choices. Fucking embarrassing.
Welcome to a mid 19th century style election with multiple options and a fragmented field.
It is rather ominous that the democratic standard bearer is only clocking in at 39% in Washington.
Voting for Trump is dumber than playing Russian Roulette with fully loaded chambers.
Top
Mega Hertz
Posts: 4306
Joined: Fri Jun 15, 2012 10:09 pm
Location: Brighton

Re: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread

Post by Mega Hertz » Wed Nov 22, 2023 9:43 pm

dial-it-in wrote: ↑
Wed Nov 22, 2023 9:31 pm
 How ridiculous that Biden and Trump will probably be our choices. Fucking embarrassing.
Succinct and true.
"Internet is no more like radio than intravenous feeding is like fine dining."
-TurkeyTop
Top
User avatar
Rate This
Posts: 14588
Joined: Wed Jan 08, 2020 12:17 am

Re: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread

Post by Rate This » Wed Nov 22, 2023 9:47 pm

Matt wrote: ↑
Wed Nov 22, 2023 9:35 pm
Rate This wrote: ↑
Wed Nov 22, 2023 9:33 pm
dial-it-in wrote: ↑
Wed Nov 22, 2023 9:31 pm
 How ridiculous that Biden and Trump will probably be our choices. Fucking embarrassing.
Welcome to a mid 19th century style election with multiple options and a fragmented field.
It is rather ominous that the democratic standard bearer is only clocking in at 39% in Washington.
Perhaps... but 39 and 29 only equal 68... 32% are hanging out there somewhere... Even the fuller field still misses 20%...
Top
User avatar
MotorCityRadioFreak
Posts: 6575
Joined: Wed Jul 29, 2020 6:26 am
Location: Warren, MI

Re: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread

Post by MotorCityRadioFreak » Fri Nov 24, 2023 12:02 am

There WILL be a third party, and it WILL cost Biden. See 1992.
They/them, non-binary and proud.

Remember that “2000 Mules” was concocted by a circus of elephants.
The right needs to stop worry about what’s between people’s legs. Instead, they should focus on what’s between their ears.
Audacity sucks.
Top
User avatar
Rate This
Posts: 14588
Joined: Wed Jan 08, 2020 12:17 am

Re: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread

Post by Rate This » Fri Nov 24, 2023 1:58 am

MotorCityRadioFreak wrote: ↑
Fri Nov 24, 2023 12:02 am
 There WILL be a third party, and it WILL cost Biden. See 1992.
The only third party there will be is one funded by right wingers trying to elect Trump under the guise of “no labels” or with kooky Bobby Kennedy. Either way BOTH of them are backed by people with ulterior motives that don’t involve no labels or believing Kennedy is worth the air he’s breathing.
Top
User avatar
Rate This
Posts: 14588
Joined: Wed Jan 08, 2020 12:17 am

Re: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread

Post by Rate This » Sun Dec 03, 2023 12:49 am

November 19

EPIC-MRA
Michigan General Election:
Trump 46
Biden 41

Haley 47
Biden 36

Michigan Senate General Election:
Slotkin 40
Craig 38

Slotkin 39
Rogers 37

NBC News
GOP Nomination:
Trump 58
DeSantis 18
Haley 13

Democratic Nomination:
Biden 77
Williamson 12

General Election:
Trump 46
Biden 44

Generic Congressional Ballot:
Republicans 47
Democrats 45

November 20

Siena
New York General Election:
Biden 46
Trump 36

Biden 37
Trump 28
Kennedy 18
West 5

November 21

The Messenger / HarrisX
GOP Nomination:
Trump 62
DeSantis 11
Haley 10

Democratic Nomination:
Biden 65
Williamson 5

General Election:
Trump 53
Biden 47

Trump 43
Biden 37
Kennedy 16
West 4

Morning Consult
GOP Nomination:
Trump 66
DeSantis 13
Haley 9
Ramaswamy 7

General Election:
Trump 44
Biden 41

November 22

Emerson
GOP Nomination:
Trump 64
Haley 9
DeSantis 8
Ramaswamy 5

Democratic Nomination:
Biden 66
Williamson 5

General Election:
Trump 47
Biden 43

Trump 42
Biden 36
Kennedy 7
West 1
Stein 1

Haley 38
Biden 38

Generic Congressional Ballot:
Republicans 44
Democrats 43

Economist / YouGov
Generic Congressional Ballot:
Democrats 43
Republicans 42

November 28

Morning Consult
GOP Nomination:
Trump 64
DeSantis 14
Haley 10
Ramaswamy 6

General Election:
Biden 43
Trump 42

November 29

Economist / YouGov
General Election:
Biden 44
Trump 42

Generic Congressional Ballot:
Democrats 44
Republicans 42

MinnPost
Minnesota GOP Primary:
Trump 60
DeSantis 17
Haley 12

General Election:
Biden 45
Trump 42

November 30

The Messenger / HarrisX
GOP Nomination:
Trump 68
DeSantis 9
Haley 7

Democratic Nomination:
Biden 65
Williamson 8

General Election:
Trump 52
Biden 48

Trump 43
Biden 36
Kennedy 17
West 4

Roanoke College
Virginia GOP Primary:
Trump 51
DeSantis 14
Haley 10
Youngkin 10

Virginia General Election:
Biden 48
Trump 44
Top
User avatar
Rate This
Posts: 14588
Joined: Wed Jan 08, 2020 12:17 am

Re: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread

Post by Rate This » Tue Dec 05, 2023 10:25 pm

December 4

I&I / TIPP
GOP Nomination:
Trump 61
Haley 10
DeSantis 9
Ramaswamy 7

Democratic Nomination:
Biden 61
Williamson 5

General Election:
Trump 41
Biden 39

Trump 38
Biden 33
Kennedy 11
West 2
Stein 2

Trafalgar Group
GOP Nomination:
Trump 54
DeSantis 17
Haley 16
Christie 6

Newsnation
GOP Nomination:
Trump 60
DeSantis 11
Haley 10
Ramaswamy 6

Generic Congressional Ballot:
Republicans 45
Democrats 43

December 5

The Messenger / HarrisX
General Election:
Trump 53
Biden 47

DeSantis 51
Biden 49

Haley 55
Biden 45

Morning Consult
GOP Nomination:
Trump 66
DeSantis 13
Haley 10
Ramaswamy 6

General Election:
Trump 43
Biden 43
Top
User avatar
TC Talks
Posts: 10790
Joined: Wed Oct 26, 2005 2:41 am

Re: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread

Post by TC Talks » Wed Dec 06, 2023 6:20 pm

Image
“Blessed are those who are righteous in his name.”
― Matt

Posting Content © 2024 TC Talks Holdings LP.
Top
User avatar
MWmetalhead
Site Admin
Posts: 12345
Joined: Sun Oct 31, 2004 11:23 am

Re: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread

Post by MWmetalhead » Thu Dec 07, 2023 12:15 pm

I watched last night's debate in its entirety. I thought DeSantis performed best followed by Christie. Haley's performance wasn't bad but was overshadowed by the aforementioned gentlemen.

Ramaswamy raised some good points at times (in relation to health care, fighting drug abuse, and crony capitalism) which unfortunately were overshadowed by his obnoxiousness and conspiracy mongering.

I think DeSantis might see a favorable bump in the polls, and it wouldn't surprise me if Haley moves down a peg.

Megyn Kelly's prolonged commentary about candidate's shortcomings leading into her opening question made her look bad. Came across as self-serving.
Morgan Wallen is a piece of garbage.
Top
Post Reply Previous topicNext topic

Return to “Political Potpourri - U.S. and World”