MWmetalhead wrote: ↑Mon Dec 11, 2023 6:55 am
Thanks. So what that all means is if Detroit ties with either or both of those two teams, then Detroit loses the NFC North.
It would be classic SOL for Detroit to lose to Minnesota, finish tied with either Minnesota, Green Bay, or both, lose the division crown, and then lose its wild card game.
Green Bay is probably going to win against the Giants.
There's still a lot that would have to go wrong for that to happen. Keep in mind that Minnesota and Green Bay still play each other, so that's a guaranteed loss for one of those teams.
Also, after digging deeper into the scenarios, I've found two instances where Detroit would win a tiebreaker over Green Bay. One of those is if Detroit beats Minnesota both times. In that instance, even if Green Bay wins all their remaining games and goes 11-6, Detroit wins the division, even if they lose to Denver and Dallas. The other instance is a 10-7 tie with Green Bay. While Green Bay wins the tiebreaker most of the time, Detroit would win it in the lone instance where Detroit beats Minnesota once and Minnesota beats Green Bay. All other 10-7 ties go to Green Bay.
Bottom line is, for divisional purposes, they gotta beat Minnesota at least once.