Carson would be a miserable VP candidate. Trump needs someone with Washington or gubernatorial experience for that post.

Good analysis, Bryce. Thanks for posting that info. The spending differences are highly interesting.

I agree with your assessment. Cruz is in fine shape and has a good chance of making it to the convention.

New Hampshire loves populists; social conservatives almost always do poorly there. Cruz performed to expectations. If he places first or a respectable second in SC, he'll be fine. Ben Carson's showing was so abysmal that the media have moved on to other things. They are not even wasting a single bre...

Indeed, Rubio's disappointing showing will be a big story. He'll survive, though.

Bush looks to have done well enough to continue. There's some life left.

Christie and Fiorina are toast. Carson's numbers are horrific.

Gigantic turnout in New Hampshire; some of the lines at polling stations were massive!!!

Not a surprise that Trump and Sanders won given the turnout.

Based on early returns, BMW's predictions might wind up being very close to the actual percentages!

My predictions for the GOP and Dem races: Democratic primary Bernie Sanders - 53% Hillary Clinton - 46% Other - 1% Republican primary Donald Trump - 25% John Kasich - 16% Marco Rubio - 16% Ted Cruz - 15% Chris Christie - 10% Jeb Bush - 8% Others - 10% Based on the above predictions, I predict only f...

I love seeing the polling data, personally.

NS8401, please keep 'em coming.

What did you guys think of last night's debate? My opinion of Rubio has changed; he had a terrible performance last night. He'll need to do much better next time if he wants to earn my vote. Prior to last night, he was my #2 choice. Now he's #4. Cruz handled himself well; I liked many of his answers...

All polls for New Hampshire from the last five days show Trump with a double digit lead over the second place candidate. In some cases, his lead is 15 percent or more. If he loses New Hampshire, he's in trouble. If Christie fails to reach double digits, he needs to leave the race. If he cannot do re...

Bryce, your premise is silly considering most African Americans in elected office are liberal Democrats, including the one in the White House. The Democratic field for President has far fewer candidates than the GOP field, so it isn't exactly a fair comparison you are making Extremely few people vie...

I have zero issue with Fiorina being excluded. It's not the RNC's fault that her poll numbers are abysmal and that her campaign is dead.

Rand Paul is out of the race, too.

Anyone who thinks Iowa's results will doom Trump or that Cruz's win in Iowa makes him the odds-on favorite to be the nominee are wrong. Did Cruz do what he needed to do last night in Iowa? Absolutely (and then some). I figured Cruz and Trump would finish within 2 or 3 percent of one another. For Cru...

I don't view Cruz's response as a non-answer. It was a legitimate answer. Some folks just feel his position doesn't go far enough to reform health care, control its cost, and make it more accessible. I am *very* surprised Cruz's conscientious decision to enroll in Obamacare last year hasn't come up ...

Here's an interesting twist - a snowstorm, including near or outright blizzard conditions, is forecast to hit parts of Iowa beginning late Monday night. Remember, in caucus states, you cannot just show up and vote throughout the day. You must be physically present at a caucus venue at a scheduled ti...